Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Uganda play Nigeria in the Africa Cup of Nations 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Uganda averaged 1.21 goals scored and 1.33 conceded. Nigeria averaged 1.82 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. In past meetings, Uganda won 2, Nigeria won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Dec 30, 2025 ended 1:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.59 for Uganda and 1.56 for Nigeria. This points to a Nigeria double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Uganda picked up more points recently compared to Nigeria.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.59 vs 1.56 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Uganda | Nigeria |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 24 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 16 |
| Draws | 3 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.82 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.33 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.43 | 2.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Uganda Compare
Nigeria Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Uganda scored in 75% of their last 24 games.
Nigeria let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Uganda went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Nigeria lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Mali | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Comoros | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Zambia | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:4 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 7 |
| 2 | South Africa | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 6 |
| 3 | Angola | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Tunisia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 4 |
| 3 | Tanzania | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | 1 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Senegal | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:1 | 7 |
| 2 | D.R. Congo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 7 |
| 3 | Benin | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Botswana | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0:7 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Algeria | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Equatorial Guinea | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivory Coast | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Cameroon | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Mozambique | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Gabon | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:7 | 0 |