Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uganda W vs Burundi W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Nahimana F.
14' Event
Ikwaput F.
47' Event
Nalugya S.

AI Match Summary

Uganda W in this CECAFA Championship Women 2022 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uganda W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Uganda W
15%
Draws
42%
Burundi W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Uganda W have won more games recently than Burundi W.
  • Win probability leans Uganda W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Uganda W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 20%
Burundi W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda W Burundi W
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 21 13
Draws 5 2
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.92 1.81
Goals Conceded 1.16 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2025 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
0:1
Jun 11, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
3:1
Jun 5, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
4:1
Nov 25, 2019 CECAFA Championship Women
Burundi W vs Uganda W
0:2
Sep 15, 2016 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Burundi W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nabweteme S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ikwaput F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Burundi W Compare

Top Goalscorer Nahimana F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda W 85 / 100
Burundi W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda W Burundi W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda W scored in 78% of their last 36 games.

Burundi W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Away concern: Burundi W has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uganda W VS Burundi W
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda W

(Home)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 8

Burundi W

(Away)
21 Jun
Burundi W
1 : 3
South Sudan W
17 Jun
Tanzania W
6 : 0
Burundi W
15 Jun
Burundi W
0 : 3
Kenya W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Burkina Faso W
4 : 1
Burundi W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda W 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Burundi W 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Rwanda W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Djibouti W 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania W 3 2 1 0 16:2 7
2 Ethiopia W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
3 South Sudan W 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Zanzibar W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)