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Uganda W vs Rwanda W Prediction & H2H Stats

Africa Africa

CECAFA Championship Women 2022
Uganda W Logo

Uganda W

2 - 0
FT
Rwanda W Logo

Rwanda W

Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ikwaput F.
48' Event
Ikwaput F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CECAFA Championship Women 2022 game between Uganda W and Rwanda W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Uganda W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Uganda W
20%
Draws
32%
Rwanda W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Uganda W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Uganda W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Uganda W Clean Sheet 20%
Rwanda W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uganda W Rwanda W
Matches Played 33 25
Wins 17 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.21 2.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Rwanda W vs Uganda W
0:1
Jul 12, 2023 Olympic Games Women
Uganda W vs Rwanda W
3:3
Jun 1, 2022 CECAFA Championship Women
Uganda W vs Rwanda W
2:0
Jul 25, 2018 CECAFA Championship Women
Rwanda W vs Uganda W
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uganda W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikwaput F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Rwanda W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uganda W 85 / 100
Rwanda W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uganda W Rwanda W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rwanda W has conceded goals in 87% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Uganda W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Rwanda W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uganda W VS Rwanda W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda W

(Home)
19 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 2
Tanzania W
17 Jun
Kenya W
4 : 0
Uganda W
15 Jun
South Sudan W
0 : 5
Uganda W
13 Jun
Uganda W
0 : 1
Burundi W
26 Feb
Ethiopia W
3 : 0
Uganda W
Page 1 of 7

Rwanda W

(Away)
25 Feb
Egypt W
2 : 2
Rwanda W
21 Feb
Rwanda W
0 : 1
Egypt W
26 Sept
Ghana W
5 : 0
Rwanda W
20 Sept
Rwanda W
0 : 7
Ghana W
16 Sept
Rwanda W
1 : 1
Burundi W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda W 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Burundi W 3 2 0 1 6:5 6
3 Rwanda W 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
4 Djibouti W 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania W 3 2 1 0 16:2 7
2 Ethiopia W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
3 South Sudan W 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Zanzibar W 3 0 0 3 0:18 0
Promotion - CECAFA Championship Women 2022 (Play Offs)