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Ugyen Academy vs Tensung - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Limboo S. K.
19' Event
Sonam T.
37' Event
Phuntsho S.

AI Match Summary

Tensung in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tensung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ugyen Academy
15%
Draws
0%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ugyen Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Ugyen Academy have won more games recently than Tensung.
  • Tensung are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ugyen Academy have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Tensung
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 10 4
Draws 1 4
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 1.48 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.85 2.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tensung
2:3
May 29, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Ugyen Academy
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tensung
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Ugyen Academy
1:3
Oct 30, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tensung
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Limboo S. K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tensung Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonam T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phuntsho S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 26 / 100
Tensung 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Tensung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tensung Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tensung has conceded goals in 90% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Tensung lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ugyen Academy scored in 67% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS Tensung
0.25 Goals Scored 1
2.88 Goals Conceded 3.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ugyen Academy

(Home)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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Tensung

(Away)
28 Sept
Tensung
1 : 5
RTC
25 Sept
Thimphu FC
4 : 1
Tensung
20 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
Drukpa
15 Sept
Tensung
1 : 3
BFF Academy U19
22 Aug
Tensung
1 : 3
Tsirang
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 18 16 1 1 74:12 49
2 Thimphu City 18 12 4 2 49:14 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
Promotion - AFC Challenge League 2027/2028 (Qualification)