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Ugyen Academy vs Tensung

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ugyen Academy play Tensung in the Premier League 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ugyen Academy averaged 2.06 goals scored and 3 conceded. Tensung averaged 0.97 goals scored and 2.14 conceded. In past meetings, Ugyen Academy won 4, Tensung won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for Ugyen Academy and 1.44 for Tensung. This points to a Ugyen Academy double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ugyen Academy
15%
Draws
31%
Tensung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ugyen Academy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Ugyen Academy picked up more points recently compared to Tensung.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 16%
Tensung Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 72%
Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Tensung
Matches Played 36 35
Wins 13 8
Draws 1 6
Losses 22 21
Goals Scored 2.06 0.97
Goals Conceded 3 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Premier League
Tensung vs Ugyen Academy
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tensung
3:0
Jul 12, 2025 Premier League
Tensung vs Ugyen Academy
1:3
Oct 30, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Tensung
3:0
Sep 25, 2023 Premier League
Tensung vs Ugyen Academy
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Dechen J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sherpa Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Tensung Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 52 / 100
Tensung 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Tensung

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ugyen Academy Win (1)
Secondary Pick Ugyen Academy & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.2%
2.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ugyen Academy attacking → ← attacking Tensung

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy scored in 89% of their last 36 games.

Tensung let in goals in 83% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ugyen Academy went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Tensung lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 30
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
2.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Paro18161174:1749
2Thimphu City18141364:2343
3RTC18122462:1938
4Transport United18111646:2734
5BFF Academy U191883740:3627
6Ugyen Academy1881938:4125
7Tsirang18441021:4216
8Tensung18321317:4811
9Southern City18311415:5910
10Samtse18221422:878