Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ugyen Academy play Thimphu City in the Premier League. Thimphu City are favorites here. Recently, Ugyen Academy averaged 1.38 goals scored and 4.13 conceded. Thimphu City averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Ugyen Academy won 0, Thimphu City won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 27, 2026 ended 1:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ugyen Academy and 3.13 for Thimphu City. This points to a Thimphu City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ugyen Academy
6%
Draws
90%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Thimphu City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Ugyen Academy.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Thimphu City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Premier League provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Thimphu City
Matches Played 34 34
Wins 13 24
Draws 1 5
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 1.38 2.13
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City
1:7
Aug 14, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Ugyen Academy
6:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City
1:2
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City
3:6
Sep 22, 2023 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Ugyen Academy
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonam N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tugunpulatov B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sadick S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
Thimphu City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Thimphu City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick THI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

Thimphu City let in goals in 71% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 7.00 goals.

Ugyen Academy went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Thimphu City lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS Thimphu City
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paro861131:719
2Thimphu City852119:617
3Transport United850312:1115
4Thimphu FC84139:913
5RTC84138:813
6Tsirang831411:1210
7BFF Academy U19831415:1710
8Drukpa823313:109
9Tensung81253:155
10Ugyen Academy81077:333