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Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City Prediction & H2H Stats

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Sonam N.
28' Event
Tugunpulatov B.
37' Event
Sadick S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ugyen Academy and Thimphu City finished 1-7, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Thimphu City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Ugyen Academy
15%
Draws
69%
Thimphu City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Thimphu City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Thimphu City come out ahead of Ugyen Academy on wins alone.
  • Model gives Thimphu City a 69% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Thimphu City have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Thimphu City Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Thimphu City
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 10 24
Draws 1 5
Losses 21 3
Goals Scored 1.44 3.25
Goals Conceded 2.81 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Ugyen Academy
6:0
Jun 27, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City
1:7
Aug 14, 2025 Premier League
Thimphu City vs Ugyen Academy
6:2
May 3, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City
1:2
Dec 5, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Thimphu City
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Top Goalscorer Sonam N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Thimphu City Compare

Top Goalscorer Tugunpulatov B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sadick S.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.85
Avg xA / game 1.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
Thimphu City 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Thimphu City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Thimphu City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:4
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.80 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ugyen Academy scored in 66% of their last 32 outings.

Thimphu City let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Recent resilience: Ugyen Academy stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS Thimphu City
0.25 Goals Scored 3.38
2.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ugyen Academy

(Home)
27 Sept
Tsirang
1 : 4
Ugyen Academy
24 Sept
Ugyen Academy
2 : 4
Drukpa
21 Sept
Thimphu FC
1 : 0
Ugyen Academy
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
08 Sept
Ugyen Academy
0 : 10
Paro
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Thimphu City

(Away)
23 Sept
Thimphu City
3 : 0
Transport United
19 Sept
BFF Academy U19
1 : 3
Thimphu City
13 Sept
Thimphu City
6 : 0
Ugyen Academy
10 Sept
RTC
1 : 2
Thimphu City
21 Aug
Drukpa
2 : 2
Thimphu City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paro 17 15 1 1 72:12 46
2 Thimphu City 17 12 4 1 49:12 40
3 Thimphu FC 18 10 2 6 27:22 32
4 Transport United 18 9 3 6 28:24 30
5 RTC 18 8 4 6 29:20 28
6 Drukpa 18 6 6 6 36:29 24
7 BFF Academy U19 18 5 5 8 29:45 20
8 Tsirang 18 4 4 10 27:48 16
9 Tensung 18 2 2 14 14:53 8
10 Ugyen Academy 18 2 1 15 15:61 7
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