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Ugyen Academy vs Transport United

Bhutan Bhutan

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Oluwaseun F. A.

AI Match Summary

Transport United in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Transport United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ugyen Academy
6%
Draws
90%
Transport United
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Transport United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Transport United have won more games recently than Ugyen Academy.
  • Win probability leans Transport United's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Ugyen Academy Clean Sheet 10%
Transport United Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ugyen Academy Transport United
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 13 22
Draws 1 2
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 4.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 4.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 13, 2026 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Transport United
0:1
Oct 22, 2025 Premier League
Transport United vs Ugyen Academy
1:4
Jun 18, 2025 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Transport United
2:3
Oct 22, 2023 Premier League
Ugyen Academy vs Transport United
2:1
Jul 21, 2023 Premier League
Transport United vs Ugyen Academy
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ugyen Academy Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Transport United Compare

Top Goalscorer Oluwaseun F. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ugyen Academy 10 / 100
Transport United 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ugyen Academy Transport United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ugyen Academy scored in 82% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Transport United has conceded goals in 73% of their last 33 outings.

Ugyen Academy went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ugyen Academy VS Transport United
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
4.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paro861131:719
2Transport United960313:1118
3Thimphu City852119:617
4RTC942311:1114
5Thimphu FC84139:913
6Tsirang932414:1511
7BFF Academy U19831415:1710
8Drukpa823313:109
9Tensung81253:155
10Ugyen Academy91087:343