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Uhersky Brod vs Nove Mesto na Morave - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

3. MSFL Orelsky stadion, Uhersky Brod
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uhersky Brod host Nove Mesto na Morave in the 3. MSFL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Uhersky Brod have averaged 1.87 scored and 1.23 conceded recently, against Nove Mesto na Morave's 1.68 scored and 1.77 conceded. Head-to-head, Uhersky Brod have won 2 to Nove Mesto na Morave's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Apr 26, 2023, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.56) point toward Uhersky Brod. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Uhersky Brod
30%
Draws
31%
Nove Mesto na Morave
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Uhersky Brod

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Uhersky Brod carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Uhersky Brod taking it.
  • Regular 3. MSFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Uhersky Brod Clean Sheet 15%
Nove Mesto na Morave Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uhersky Brod Nove Mesto na Morave
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.87 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2023 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Uhersky Brod
1:0
Sep 3, 2022 3. MSFL
Uhersky Brod vs Nove Mesto na Morave
1:0
May 14, 2022 3. MSFL
Uhersky Brod vs Nove Mesto na Morave
3:0
Oct 9, 2021 3. MSFL
Nove Mesto na Morave vs Uhersky Brod
0:0
May 29, 2021 3. MSFL
Uhersky Brod vs Nove Mesto na Morave
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uhersky Brod 39 / 100
Nove Mesto na Morave 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uhersky Brod Nove Mesto na Morave

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uhersky Brod Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Uhersky Brod scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

Nove Mesto na Morave's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Uhersky Brod has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: Nove Mesto na Morave has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Uhersky Brod VS Nove Mesto na Morave
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uhersky Brod

(Home)
03 Oct
Uhersky Brod
2 : 2
Havirov
26 Sept
Uhersky Brod
2 : 1
Sigma Olomouc B
20 Sept
Unicov
4 : 3
Uhersky Brod
12 Sept
Uhersky Brod
1 : 3
FK Frydek-Mistek
05 Sept
Hlubina
1 : 1
Uhersky Brod
Page 1 of 6

Nove Mesto na Morave

(Away)
03 Oct
FK Frydek-Mistek
4 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
26 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
3 : 2
Hlubina
19 Sept
Vsetin
2 : 2
Nove Mesto na Morave
12 Sept
Nove Mesto na Morave
0 : 3
Brno B
05 Sept
SK Hranice
1 : 0
Nove Mesto na Morave
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Artis Brno B 11 7 4 0 20:4 25
2 Brno B 11 7 2 2 24:16 23
3 Unicov 11 7 2 2 22:14 23
4 FK Frydek-Mistek 11 6 3 2 19:10 21
5 Sigma Olomouc B 11 6 1 4 20:13 19
6 SK Hranice 11 5 2 4 15:10 17
7 Vitkovice 11 4 4 3 12:9 16
8 Hlubina 11 4 3 4 26:22 15
9 Slovacko B 11 4 3 4 16:12 15
10 Uhersky Brod 11 4 3 4 18:18 15
11 Zlin B 11 4 3 4 13:16 15
12 Hodonin 11 4 2 5 14:13 14
13 Nove Mesto na Morave 11 4 2 5 13:20 14
14 Karvina B 11 3 2 6 15:21 11
15 Vsetin 11 3 1 7 11:24 10
16 FK Blansko 11 1 5 5 16:28 8
17 Polanka nad Odrou 11 1 3 7 7:17 6
18 Havirov 11 0 5 6 6:20 5
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