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Uirapuru vs Uniao Rondonopolis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Uirapuru
20%
Draws
57%
Uniao Rondonopolis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uniao Rondonopolis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Uniao Rondonopolis have won more games recently than Uirapuru.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Uniao Rondonopolis arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uniao Rondonopolis, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uirapuru Clean Sheet 16%
Uniao Rondonopolis Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uirapuru Uniao Rondonopolis
Matches Played 16 29
Wins 6 9
Draws 3 9
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.94 0.9
Goals Conceded 2 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uirapuru vs Uniao Rondonopolis
1:2
Sep 30, 2026 Copa FMF (Mato Grosso)
Uniao Rondonopolis vs Uirapuru
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uirapuru 36 / 100
Uniao Rondonopolis 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uirapuru Uniao Rondonopolis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uniao Rondonopolis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uirapuru found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (16 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Defensive concern: Uniao Rondonopolis conceded in 59% of 29 recent games.

Uirapuru has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uirapuru VS Uniao Rondonopolis
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Uirapuru

(Home)
10 Oct
Várzea Grande EC
1 : 2
Uirapuru
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
23 Sept
Uirapuru
1 : 4
Várzea Grande EC
19 Sept
Uirapuru
2 : 3
Santa Cruz MT
Page 1 of 4

Uniao Rondonopolis

(Away)
07 Oct
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Santa Cruz MT
03 Oct
Uirapuru
1 : 2
Uniao Rondonopolis
30 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
0 : 0
Uirapuru
27 Sept
Santa Cruz MT
4 : 0
Uniao Rondonopolis
23 Sept
Uniao Rondonopolis
1 : 0
Chapada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
2 Chapada 5 3 1 1 11:4 10
3 Santa Cruz MT 5 2 0 3 8:7 6
4 Várzea Grande EC 6 2 0 4 10:15 6
5 Uirapuru 6 1 2 3 7:11 5
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cuiaba 5 5 0 0 16:4 15
2 Sorriso EC 5 2 0 3 11:10 6
3 Cacerense 4 2 0 2 7:10 6
4 Campo Novo 4 0 0 4 3:13 0
Promotion - Copa FMF (Mato Grosso) (Play Offs)