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UJ Krakow W vs Czworka Radom W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UJ Krakow W play Czworka Radom W in the Ekstraliga Women 2022/2023. UJ Krakow W are favorites here. Recently, UJ Krakow W averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. Czworka Radom W averaged 1.13 goals scored and 2.87 conceded. In past meetings, UJ Krakow W won 4, Czworka Radom W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 15, 2023 ended 4:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.13 for UJ Krakow W and 1.75 for Czworka Radom W. This points to a UJ Krakow W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
UJ Krakow W
16%
Draws
22%
Czworka Radom W
Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: UJ Krakow W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • UJ Krakow W picked up more points recently compared to Czworka Radom W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.13 vs 1.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
UJ Krakow W Clean Sheet 12%
Czworka Radom W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 74%
Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UJ Krakow W Czworka Radom W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 7 3
Losses 13 21
Goals Scored 1.56 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 3.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2023 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs Czworka Radom W
4:0
Sep 24, 2022 Ekstraliga Women
Czworka Radom W vs UJ Krakow W
0:2
May 19, 2018 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs Czworka Radom W
2:1
Nov 5, 2017 Ekstraliga Women
UJ Krakow W vs Czworka Radom W
2:2
Aug 5, 2017 Ekstraliga Women
Czworka Radom W vs UJ Krakow W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UJ Krakow W Compare

Top Goalscorer Wojcik W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nieciag A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Czworka Radom W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UJ Krakow W 58 / 100
Czworka Radom W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UJ Krakow W Czworka Radom W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UJ Krakow W Win (1)
Secondary Pick UJ Krakow W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +14.7%
1.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UJ Krakow W attacking → ← attacking Czworka Radom W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UJ Krakow W scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Czworka Radom W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

UJ Krakow W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Czworka Radom W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 21
2.75 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1GKS Katowice W22181348:1755
2Leczna W22164279:3052
3UKS SMS Lodz W22171462:2452
4UJ Krakow W22124641:3140
5Pogon Szczecin W22121942:3037
6Slask Wroclaw W221021046:3832
7Czarni Sosnowiec W2286836:2930
8AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22661025:3224
9Pogon Tczew W22531429:5618
10Medyk Konin W22431525:4915
11KKP Bydgoszcz W22341519:5413
12Czworka Radom W22311819:8110