Sport Picks
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Hungary
NB I. Szusza Ferenc Stadion, Budapest 
Match Events
12'
12'
Jurek G.
Assist: Kerezsi Z.
31'
31'
Amenyido E.
39'
39'
Ljujic M.
AI Match Summary
The NB I. game between Ujpest and MTK Budapest finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
30%
27%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ujpest
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- MTK Budapest haven't matched Ujpest's recent run of results.
- Ujpest are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- Regular NB I. form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Ujpest Clean Sheet 13%
MTK Budapest Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ujpest | MTK Budapest |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 NB I.
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
1:1
Apr 4, 2026 NB I.
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
2:2
Dec 13, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Ujpest
3:4
Aug 30, 2025 NB I.
Ujpest vs MTK Budapest
1:2
May 24, 2025 NB I.
MTK Budapest vs Ujpest
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ujpest Compare
Top Goalscorer Ljujic M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
MTK Budapest Compare
Top Goalscorer Jurek G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ujpest 66 / 100
MTK Budapest 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ujpest MTK Budapest
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ujpest Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Ujpest stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
Ujpest's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
MTK Budapest let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.
Scoring Trends
Ujpest VS MTK Budapest
2.25 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ujpest
(Home) 03 Oct
Videoton
1 : 1 Ujpest
20 Sept
Ujpest
2 : 1 Zalaegerszegi
13 Sept
Dorogi FC
0 : 2 Ujpest
06 Sept
Ferencvaros
2 : 2 Ujpest
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1 Vasas
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20 Sept
Ujpest
2 : 1 Zalaegerszegi
29 Aug
Ujpest
3 : 1 Vasas
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1 MTK Budapest
02 Aug
Ujpest
4 : 2 Debrecen
18 Jul
Ujpest
2 : 0 Radnik Bijeljina
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MTK Budapest
(Away) 20 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2 Gyor
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2 MTK Budapest
05 Sept
MTK Budapest
1 : 2 Kisvarda FC
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
22 Aug
MTK Budapest
2 : 1 Nyiregyhaza
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Mezokovesd-Zsory
0 : 2 MTK Budapest
28 Aug
Debrecen
2 : 2 MTK Budapest
15 Aug
Ujpest
1 : 1 MTK Budapest
01 Aug
Honved
3 : 3 MTK Budapest
08 Jul
Celje
4 : 3 MTK Budapest
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Puskas Academy | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 15 |
| 2 | Gyor | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16:10 | 15 |
| 3 | Vasas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 4 | Ujpest | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17:13 | 14 |
| 5 | Ferencvaros | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11:8 | 12 |
| 6 | Paks | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 16:17 | 11 |
| 7 | MTK Budapest | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15:14 | 9 |
| 8 | Kisvarda FC | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:10 | 9 |
| 9 | Debrecen | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:15 | 9 |
| 10 | Nyiregyhaza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | 8 |
| 11 | Zalaegerszegi | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7:17 | 6 |
| 12 | Honved | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 11:14 | 6 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - NB I. (Relegation)
Relegation - NB II. 2027/2028 (Main)
