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Ukraine U17 W vs Iceland U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

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Euro U17 Women 2025 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Lespukh K.
24' Event
Johannesdottir F.
37'
Sub
Snorradottir H. In: Arnarsdottir A.
Out: Snorradottir H.

AI Match Summary

Ukraine U17 W in this Euro U17 Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ukraine U17 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ukraine U17 W
20%
Draws
51%
Iceland U17 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iceland U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Iceland U17 W have won more games recently than Ukraine U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Iceland U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Ukraine U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Iceland U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U17 W Iceland U17 W
Matches Played 25 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 1
Losses 11 16
Goals Scored 1.92 2.28
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2025 Euro U17 Women
Ukraine U17 W vs Iceland U17 W
2:1
Nov 15, 2020 Euro U17 Women
Ukraine U17 W vs Iceland U17 W
0:0
Sep 22, 2007 Euro U17 Women
Iceland U17 W vs Ukraine U17 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lespukh K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kolodiy D. V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Iceland U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Johannesdottir F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U17 W 10 / 100
Iceland U17 W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U17 W Iceland U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U17 W's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 25 recent games.

Iceland U17 W has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ukraine U17 W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U17 W VS Iceland U17 W
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U17 W

(Home)
08 Apr
Ukraine U17 W
4 : 1
Bosnia & Herzegovina U17 W
05 Apr
Bulgaria U17 W
2 : 2
Ukraine U17 W
02 Dec
Romania U17 W
1 : 1
Ukraine U17 W
29 Nov
Austria U17 W
4 : 0
Ukraine U17 W
26 Nov
Ukraine U17 W
0 : 1
Switzerland U17 W
Page 1 of 5

Iceland U17 W

(Away)
20 Mar
Iceland U17 W
5 : 0
Serbia U17 W
17 Mar
Austria U17 W
1 : 0
Iceland U17 W
14 Mar
France U17 W
2 : 1
Iceland U17 W
11 Nov
Iceland U17 W
3 : 0
Slovenia U17 W
08 Nov
Faroe Islands U17 W
2 : 6
Iceland U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Belgium U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:6 6
3 Ukraine U17 W 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Iceland U17 W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U17 W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Scotland U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Slovakia U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Wales U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:7 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 2 1 0 6:0 7
2 Czech Republic U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:1 6
3 Croatia U17 W 3 1 1 1 8:1 4
4 Georgia U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U17 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Switzerland U17 W 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Hungary U17 W 3 1 0 2 6:6 3
4 Turkey U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:11 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U17 W 3 3 0 0 13:4 9
2 Finland U17 W 3 1 1 1 5:7 4
3 England U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Sweden U17 W 3 0 1 2 7:10 1
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway U17 W 3 3 0 0 7:1 9
2 Portugal U17 W 3 2 0 1 7:1 6
3 Serbia U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:9 3
4 Greece U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U17 W 3 2 1 0 8:0 7
2 Denmark U17 W 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
3 Germany U17 W 3 1 1 1 10:1 4
4 Kosovo U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:21 0
Relegation - Euro U17 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)
Promotion - Euro U17 Women 2025 (Main)