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Ukraine U20 vs Paraguay U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup U20 Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Alfonso O. In: Fernandez D.
Out: Alfonso O.
46'
Sub
Digtyar K. In: Derkach M.
Out: Digtyar K.
46' Event
Derkach M.
Assist: Krevsun D.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ukraine U20
15%
Draws
39%
Paraguay U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ukraine U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ukraine U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ukraine U20 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Ukraine U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Paraguay U20, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Ukraine U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Paraguay U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U20 Paraguay U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 10
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.57 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.77 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2025 World Cup U20
Ukraine U20 vs Paraguay U20
2:1
Jun 28, 2001 World Cup U20
Ukraine U20 vs Paraguay U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Derkach M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ponomarenko M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Paraguay U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mino Amarilla C. E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U20 59 / 100
Paraguay U20 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U20 Paraguay U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ukraine U20 scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Paraguay U20 has conceded goals in 81% of their last 26 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ukraine U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U20 VS Paraguay U20
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U20

(Home)
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
03 Oct
Ukraine U20
2 : 1
Paraguay U20
30 Sept
Panama U20
1 : 1
Ukraine U20
27 Sept
South Korea U20
1 : 2
Ukraine U20
21 Sept
Ukraine U20
2 : 3
Australia U20
Page 1 of 6

Paraguay U20

(Away)
27 Aug
Uruguay U20
2 : 3
Paraguay U20
25 Aug
Uruguay U20
0 : 2
Paraguay U20
31 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
28 Mar
Brazil U20
3 : 1
Paraguay U20
08 Oct
Paraguay U20
0 : 1
Norway U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U20 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Chile U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
3 Egypt U20 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 New Zealand U20 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U20 3 2 1 0 5:3 7
2 Paraguay U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 South Korea U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Panama U20 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco U20 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
2 Mexico U20 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
3 Spain U20 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
4 Brazil U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Argentina U20 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Italy U20 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Australia U20 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Cuba U20 3 0 1 2 4:8 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U20 3 2 0 1 13:3 6
2 South Africa U20 3 2 0 1 8:3 6
3 France U20 3 2 0 1 8:4 6
4 New Caledonia U20 3 0 0 3 1:20 0
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombia U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
2 Norway U20 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria U20 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
4 Saudi Arabia U20 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - World Cup U20 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams