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Stadium Background

Ukraine U23 vs Japan U19

World World

Maurice Revello Tournament 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Ogura K.
42' Event
Veleten V.
Assist: Sikan D.
46'
Sub
Ogura K. In: Ishii H.
Out: Ogura K.

AI Match Summary

The Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 game between Ukraine U23 and Japan U19 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ukraine U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Ukraine U23
20%
Draws
28%
Japan U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ukraine U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Japan U19 come out ahead of Ukraine U23 on wins alone.
  • Ukraine U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Ukraine U23 Clean Sheet 16%
Japan U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U23 Japan U19
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 5 10
Draws 2 1
Losses 0 18
Goals Scored 2.43 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.97 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 10, 2024 Maurice Revello Tournament
Ukraine U23 vs Japan U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Veleten V.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.98

Japan U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Shiogai K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U23 84 / 100
Japan U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U23 Japan U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U23 scored in 100% of their last 7 games.

Japan U19 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Ukraine U23 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U23 VS Japan U19
2.43 Goals Scored 2.13
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 75%
71% Over 2.5 75%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
14 Jul
Ukraine U23
1 : 1
Egypt U23
16 Jun
Ukraine U23
3 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
10 Jun
Ukraine U23
2 : 1
Japan U19
08 Jun
Ukraine U23
2 : 0
Panama U23
Page 1 of 2

Japan U19

(Away)
09 Jun
USA U19
5 : 2
Japan U19
06 Jun
Mexico U20
1 : 3
Japan U19
30 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
2 : 1
Japan U19
25 Mar
Uzbekistan U19
0 : 1
Japan U19
18 Nov
Japan U19
0 : 1
USA U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast U20 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
2 France U20 4 2 0 2 7:4 7
3 Mexico U23 4 3 0 1 6:8 7
4 Saudi Arabia U23 4 2 0 2 5:7 6
5 South Korea U21 4 0 0 4 1:5 1
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U23 4 4 0 0 11:1 12
2 Italy U21 4 3 0 1 7:9 8
3 Japan U19 4 2 0 2 9:7 6
4 Panama U23 4 1 0 3 6:5 4
5 Egypt U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Japan U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Panama U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Indonesia U20 4 0 0 4 1:12 0
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Maurice Revello Tournament 2024 (Placement Play Offs)