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Ukraine U23 vs Paraguay U23 Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

Friendly International 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Khlan M.
40' Event
Perez M.
Penalty Missed
51' Event
Fernandez M.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Friendly International 2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ukraine U23
30%
Draws
6%
Paraguay U23
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ukraine U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Paraguay U23 have won more games recently than Ukraine U23.
  • Win probability leans Ukraine U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ukraine U23 Clean Sheet 18%
Paraguay U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ukraine U23 Paraguay U23
Matches Played 7 30
Wins 5 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 0 12
Goals Scored 2.43 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2024 Friendly International
Ukraine U23 vs Paraguay U23
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ukraine U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khlan M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fedor O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Paraguay U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Parzajuk K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ukraine U23 85 / 100
Paraguay U23 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ukraine U23 Paraguay U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ukraine U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ukraine U23's goal record stands at 100% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ukraine U23 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Paraguay U23 let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ukraine U23 VS Paraguay U23
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ukraine U23

(Home)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
14 Jul
Ukraine U23
1 : 1
Egypt U23
16 Jun
Ukraine U23
3 : 2
Ivory Coast U20
10 Jun
Ukraine U23
2 : 1
Japan U19
08 Jun
Ukraine U23
2 : 0
Panama U23
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Paraguay U23

(Away)
18 Jul
Ukraine U23
2 : 2
Paraguay U23
13 Jul
USA U23
1 : 0
Paraguay U23
04 Jul
France U23
4 : 1
Paraguay U23
10 Jun
Argentina U23
2 : 0
Paraguay U23
08 Jun
Argentina U23
4 : 0
Paraguay U23
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