Sport Picks
Match Events
20'
20'
Nazaryna Y.
52'
52'
Toth M.
Assist: Vitalis M.
55'
55'
Lukacs D.
AI Match Summary
Hungary in this UEFA Nations League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hungary.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hungary
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ukraine average 1.32 goals a game right now, well clear of Hungary's 1.25.
- Model gives Hungary a 57% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 4 times recently and Hungary have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ukraine Clean Sheet 18%
Hungary Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ukraine | Hungary |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 5, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Ukraine vs Hungary
1:2
Sep 25, 2026 UEFA Nations League
Hungary vs Ukraine
0:1
Aug 26, 1992 Friendly International
Hungary vs Ukraine
2:1
Apr 29, 1992 Friendly International
Ukraine vs Hungary
1:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ukraine Compare
Top Goalscorer Yaremchuk R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Hungary Compare
Top Goalscorer Toth M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Csinger M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ukraine 23 / 100
Hungary 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ukraine Hungary
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hungary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ukraine scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Hungary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Ukraine went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ukraine VS Hungary
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Ukraine
(Home) 05 Oct
Ukraine
1 : 2 Hungary
02 Oct
Ukraine
0 : 3 Northern Ireland
28 Sept
Georgia
0 : 0 Ukraine
25 Sept
Hungary
0 : 1 Ukraine
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1 Ukraine
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Ukraine
1 : 2 Hungary
02 Oct
Ukraine
0 : 3 Northern Ireland
31 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 0 Albania
26 Mar
Ukraine
1 : 3 Sweden
16 Nov
Ukraine
2 : 0 Iceland
Page 1 of 3
Hungary
(Away) 05 Oct
Ukraine
1 : 2 Hungary
02 Oct
Hungary
1 : 0 Georgia
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Hungary
25 Sept
Hungary
0 : 1 Ukraine
09 Jun
Hungary
3 : 1 Kazakhstan
Page 1 of 7
05 Oct
Ukraine
1 : 2 Hungary
28 Sept
Northern Ireland
0 : 0 Hungary
13 Nov
Armenia
0 : 1 Hungary
14 Oct
Portugal
2 : 2 Hungary
06 Sept
Ireland
2 : 2 Hungary
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Switzerland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Slovenia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Scotland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4:0 | 8 |
| 2 | Hungary | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 4 | Georgia | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0:2 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austria | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Kosovo | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Ireland | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 | Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League B/C)
