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Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mongolia Mongolia

Premier League
Mon, Oct 19, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulaangom City FC host Khovd in the Premier League. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Ulaangom City FC have averaged 1.15 scored and 5.52 conceded recently, against Khovd's 2.57 scored and 3.37 conceded. Past meetings favor Khovd slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 28, 2026, ending 3:3. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 4.00) point toward Khovd. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ulaangom City FC
15%
Draws
85%
Khovd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Khovd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Khovd have won more games recently than Ulaangom City FC.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Khovd taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 94%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Khovd have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 94%
Over 3.5 Goals 94%
Over 4.5 Goals 42%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ulaangom City FC Clean Sheet 10%
Khovd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulaangom City FC Khovd
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 3 10
Draws 2 3
Losses 22 17
Goals Scored 1.15 2.57
Goals Conceded 5.52 3.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd
3:3
May 21, 2026 Premier League
Ulaangom City FC vs Khovd
2:3
Oct 19, 2025 Premier League
Khovd vs Ulaangom City FC
8:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulaangom City FC 10 / 100
Khovd 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulaangom City FC Khovd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Khovd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.33 goals when they meet.

Ulaangom City FC's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Defensive concern: Khovd conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Khovd lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulaangom City FC VS Khovd
1.63 Goals Scored 4.13
4 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulaangom City FC

(Home)
05 Oct
FC Ulaanbaatar
8 : 0
Ulaangom City FC
30 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
2 : 4
Hunters
26 Sept
Central Stallions
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
20 Sept
Ulaangom City FC
0 : 5
Deren
16 Sept
Khovd Western
4 : 1
Ulaangom City FC
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Khovd

(Away)
10 Oct
Khovd
8 : 0
Amtat FC
04 Oct
Deren
3 : 3
Khovd
30 Sept
Khovd
0 : 4
FC Ulaanbaatar
26 Sept
Khaan Khuns-Erchim
2 : 8
Khovd
21 Sept
Khovd
0 : 6
Central Stallions
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Central Stallions 7 7 0 0 29:7 21
2 FC Ulaanbaatar 6 5 1 0 29:4 16
3 Deren 7 4 2 1 21:9 14
4 Khovd 6 3 1 2 23:15 10
5 Hunters 6 3 0 3 20:15 9
6 Khaan Khuns-Erchim 6 2 0 4 9:19 6
7 Khovd Western 6 1 0 5 13:27 3
8 Amtat FC 6 1 0 5 5:31 3
9 Ulaangom City FC 6 0 0 6 4:26 0
Promotion - Premier League (Winners stage)
Relegation - Premier League (Losers stage)