Sport Picks
Match Events
9'
9'
Haraldsson S.
14'
14'
Kjartansson H.
23'
23'
Solbergsson A. T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 6-1, with Ulfarnir advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulfarnir
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Ulfarnir come out ahead of Vatnaliljur on wins alone.
- 85% — that's where the model lands on Ulfarnir taking it.
- Ulfarnir have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Ulfarnir, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Ulfarnir Clean Sheet 18%
Vatnaliljur Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulfarnir | Vatnaliljur |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 19 | 12 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.26 | 5.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 4.00 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2019 Icelandic Cup
Ulfarnir vs Vatnaliljur
6:1
Apr 23, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Vatnaliljur vs Ulfarnir
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulfarnir Compare
Top Goalscorer Haraldsson S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Solbergsson A. T.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2
Vatnaliljur Compare
Top Goalscorer Kjartansson H.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulfarnir 85 / 100
Vatnaliljur 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulfarnir Vatnaliljur
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ulfarnir Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Vatnaliljur's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 12 matches.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Difficult form: Vatnaliljur registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Ulfarnir found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (19 games).
Scoring Trends
Ulfarnir VS Vatnaliljur
2.88 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 7
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulfarnir
(Home) 26 Mar
Grotta
2 : 1 Ulfarnir
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2 Hamar
17 Apr
Olafsvik
7 : 1 Ulfarnir
05 Apr
Skallagrimur
1 : 2 Ulfarnir
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0 Stokkseyri
Page 1 of 4
10 Mar
Ulfarnir
4 : 2 Hamar
28 Mar
Ulfarnir
3 : 0 Stokkseyri
31 Mar
Ulfarnir
1 : 3 Throttur Vogar
23 Apr
Ulfarnir
2 : 0 Isbjorninn
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1 Vatnaliljur
Vatnaliljur
(Away) 25 Apr
Vatnaliljur
2 : 3 IH Hafnarfjordur
06 Jun
Vatnaliljur
0 : 12 Afturelding
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1 Vatnaliljur
12 Apr
Grotta
9 : 0 Vatnaliljur
29 Apr
Fylkir
7 : 0 Vatnaliljur
Page 1 of 3
14 Apr
Ulfarnir
6 : 1 Vatnaliljur
12 Apr
Grotta
9 : 0 Vatnaliljur
29 Apr
Fylkir
7 : 0 Vatnaliljur
02 May
Midas
3 : 4 Vatnaliljur
03 May
Grundarfjordur
5 : 1 Vatnaliljur
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 5
SR Reykjavik 0
Skallagrimur 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Leiknir Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjolnir -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds -
TBD -
TBD -
Sindri -
KA Asvellir 2
Kria 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Berserkir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 8
Arborg 1
Bjorninn 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 1
Vidir 0
Hamar 1
Kari 5
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Vatnaliljur 1
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 6
Lettir 0
Throttur Vogar 0
Selfoss 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 4
Nokkvi 2
TBD -
Magni -
Fjardabyggd -
TBD -
Einherji 1
Hottur / Huginn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur -
TBD -
KFG Gardabaer 1
Reynir 2
KB Breidholt 2
Snaefell 1
Fenrir 0
Aegir 2
Grotta 8
Alftanes 2
KH Hlidarendi 0
KFR 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Samherjar 0
Dalvik/Reynir 6
Midas 1
Isbjorninn 0
Alafoss 1
Ellidi 8
Tindastoll 5
Aeskan 0
TBD -
Volsungur -
Keflavik -
TBD -
KFS 2
Haukar 5
Vaengirs 9
Kongarnir 0
KM Reykjavik 0
Kordrengir 7
Fram 2
GG Grindavik 1
Afrika Reykjavik 1
Ymir 6
Hviti 5
Kormakur/Hvot 1
TBD -
Njardvik -
1/32-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
IR Reykjavik 3
KV Reykjavik 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 4
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
Leiknir Faskruds 1
Sindri 5
KA Asvellir 4
Berserkir 2
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Augnablik 3
IH Hafnarfjordur 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Vestri 3
Kari 1
Olafsvik 2
Ulfarnir 6
Afturelding 3
Selfoss 2
TBD -
Grindavik -
Breidablik -
TBD -
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 4
Fjardabyggd 2
Hottur / Huginn 0
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Throttur 2
Reynir 0
KB Breidholt 1
Aegir 2
Grotta 10
KFR 0
TBD -
Fylkir -
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri 2
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Midas 2
Ellidi 1
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 3
Keflavik 1
Haukar 0
Vaengirs 0
Kordrengir 1
Fram 6
Ymir 0
Hviti 0
Njardvik 6
1/16-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
Stjarnan 0
IR Reykjavik 1
Fjolnir 3
KA Akureyri 5
Sindri 0
KA Asvellir 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Valur 1
Augnablik 0
Akranes 3
Vestri 2
Ulfarnir 1
Afturelding 1
Grindavik 4
Breidablik 10
Magni 1
Fjardabyggd 1
Kopavogur 5
Throttur 4
Aegir 0
Grotta 1
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 5
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Midas 0
Volsungur 4
Keflavik 1
Kordrengir 0
Fram 1
Njardvik 3
1/8-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Fjolnir 0
KA Akureyri 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 2
Hafnarfjordur 2
Akranes 1
Vestri 1
Grindavik 3
Breidablik 3
Kopavogur 1
Throttur 1
Fylkir 3
KR Reykjavik 2
Volsungur 0
Keflavik 0
Njardvik 1
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 2
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 7
Grindavik 1
Breidablik 4
Fylkir 2
KR Reykjavik 3
Njardvik 0
Semi-finals
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Breidablik 1
Hafnarfjordur 3
KR Reykjavik 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
