Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern 2 vs Gneist IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Evensen B.
(Penalty)
43' Event
Francke J.
72' Event
Bay-Larsen A.

AI Match Summary

Ullern 2 in this Division 3 - Group 1 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ullern 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ullern 2
20%
Draws
50%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gneist IL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Gneist IL have won more games recently than Ullern 2.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Gneist IL taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ullern 2 Clean Sheet 11%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern 2 Gneist IL
Matches Played 26 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 1 3
Losses 20 20
Goals Scored 1.38 1.55
Goals Conceded 3.08 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.42 1.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 8, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern 2 vs Gneist IL
4:0
Apr 16, 2023 Division 3 - Group 1
Gneist IL vs Ullern 2
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Francke J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bay-Larsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.86
Avg xA / game 1.21

Gneist IL Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 2 10 / 100
Gneist IL 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern 2 Gneist IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gneist IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gneist IL has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Ullern 2's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

Ullern 2 has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gneist IL
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern 2

(Home)
29 Oct
Stabaek 2
5 : 0
Ullern 2
22 Oct
Ullern 2
1 : 4
Skjetten
14 Oct
Skedsmo
8 : 0
Ullern 2
08 Oct
Ullern 2
4 : 0
Gneist IL
02 Oct
Lillestrom 2
4 : 0
Ullern 2
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Gneist IL

(Away)
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
07 Sept
Gneist IL
3 : 3
Asane 2
30 Aug
Askoy
2 : 0
Gneist IL
15 Aug
Gneist IL
1 : 2
Forde
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