Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern vs Baerum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 1
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Schie P.
68' Event
Bransdal L.
(Penalty)
77' Event
Victorio A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 1 game between Ullern and Baerum finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Baerum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ullern
6%
Draws
90%
Baerum
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Baerum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Baerum come out ahead of Ullern on wins alone.
  • Model gives Baerum a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%
Ullern Clean Sheet 10%
Baerum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Baerum
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.63 2.63
Goals Conceded 2.38 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Baerum
0:3
Oct 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Baerum vs Ullern
4:2
Apr 21, 2025 Division 3 - Group 1
Ullern vs Baerum
1:2
Sep 7, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Ullern vs Baerum
1:1
Jun 8, 2024 Division 3 - Group 3
Baerum vs Ullern
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ullern Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Baerum Compare

Top Goalscorer Schie P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Victorio A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 10 / 100
Baerum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Baerum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BAE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ullern scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Baerum has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Ullern remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS Baerum
1.63 Goals Scored 2.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 75%