Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ullern vs Melbo

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2020
Sat, Oct 17, 2020
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ullern host Melbo in the Division 3 - Group 6 2020. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ullern at 2.16 goals for, 2.38 against; Melbo at 1 for, 1.87 against. Past meetings favor Ullern slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 23, 2021, ending 4:0. xG projections (1.29 - 1.81) back Ullern to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Ullern
15%
Draws
12%
Melbo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ullern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ullern come out ahead of Melbo on wins alone.
  • 73% — that's where the model lands on Ullern taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Ullern Clean Sheet 11%
Melbo Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ullern Melbo
Matches Played 32 15
Wins 12 4
Draws 4 2
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 2.16 1
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2021 Division 3 - Group 6
Ullern vs Melbo
4:0
Oct 25, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Ullern vs Melbo
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Division 3 - Group 6
Ullern vs Melbo
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ullern 65 / 100
Melbo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ullern Melbo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ullern Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ullern scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Melbo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 15 matches.

Away concern: Melbo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ullern VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
2.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ullern

(Home)
12 Sept
Ready
4 : 3
Ullern
05 Sept
Ullern
2 : 6
Asker
30 Aug
Lokomotiv Oslo
2 : 3
Ullern
15 Aug
Ullern
4 : 1
Union Carl Berner
08 Aug
Ullern
2 : 5
Gamle Oslo
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Melbo

(Away)
13 Apr
Melbo
0 : 1
Sortland
30 Oct
Melbo
1 : 3
Bodo/Glimt 2
23 Oct
Ullern
4 : 0
Melbo
17 Oct
Melbo
1 : 1
Skeid 2
10 Oct
Nordstrand
3 : 1
Melbo
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