Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Son M.
53' Event
Lee K.
63' Event
Brenno

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Ulsan Citizen and Chuncheon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ulsan Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Chuncheon haven't matched Ulsan Citizen's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ulsan Citizen taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Chuncheon
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 0.88 2.63
Goals Conceded 1 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Son M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
Chuncheon 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Chuncheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Chuncheon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Away concern: Chuncheon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Chuncheon
0.88 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429