Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Son M.
53' Event
Lee K.
63' Event
Brenno

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Ulsan Citizen and Chuncheon finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
49%
Chuncheon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chuncheon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Chuncheon haven't matched Ulsan Citizen's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 17%
Chuncheon Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Chuncheon
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.06 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Korean Cup
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Apr 5, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 K3 League
Chuncheon vs Ulsan Citizen
0:0
Apr 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Chuncheon
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Son M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lee K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Chuncheon Compare

Top Goalscorer Brenno
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 36 / 100
Chuncheon 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Chuncheon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chuncheon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chuncheon let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Ulsan Citizen's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Chuncheon
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
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Chuncheon

(Away)
12 Sept
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Yeoju Citizen
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
29 Aug
Dangjin Citizen
3 : 4
Chuncheon
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
26 Jul
Chuncheon
2 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 22 16 4 2 35:19 52
2 Pocheon 22 13 6 3 38:19 45
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 22 10 7 5 39:26 37
5 Dangjin Citizen 22 9 4 9 44:36 31
6 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
7 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 21 6 8 7 23:25 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 22 4 9 9 19:35 21
13 Yangpyeong 22 3 8 11 27:43 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 22 1 7 14 22:49 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)