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Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
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Match Events

15' Event
Park Sang-hyun
48' Event
Koo Seung-hoon
56' Event
Kim Song-Sun

AI Match Summary

Gangneung in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gangneung.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
37%
Gangneung
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen have won more games recently than Gangneung.
  • 48% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Gangneung Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Gangneung
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung
1:2
Mar 7, 2026 K3 League
Gangneung vs Ulsan Citizen
0:2
Jul 20, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 K3 League
Gangneung vs Ulsan Citizen
2:2
Sep 1, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Gangneung
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Sang-hyun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Gangneung Compare

Top Goalscorer Koo Seung-hoon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kim Song-Sun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 41 / 100
Gangneung 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Gangneung

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulsan Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulsan Citizen scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gangneung conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Ulsan Citizen has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Gangneung
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
03 Oct
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Siheung Citizen
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
Page 1 of 6

Gangneung

(Away)
02 Oct
Daejeon Korail
2 : 1
Gangneung
12 Sept
Gangneung
0 : 1
Gyeongju KHNP
06 Sept
Gangneung
1 : 1
Busan Kyotong
29 Aug
Gangneung
2 : 1
Jeonbuk 2
23 Aug
Gangneung
1 : 0
Chuncheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 23 17 4 2 37:20 55
2 Pocheon 23 13 7 3 38:19 46
3 Daejeon Korail 23 12 5 6 33:18 41
4 Busan Kyotong 23 10 7 6 40:29 37
5 Gyeongju KHNP 23 9 8 6 35:31 35
6 Dangjin Citizen 23 9 4 10 46:39 31
7 Chuncheon 23 8 6 9 39:35 30
8 Changwon 23 7 8 8 26:28 29
9 Ulsan Citizen 23 8 4 11 24:26 28
10 Yeoju Citizen 23 7 7 9 26:29 28
11 Gangneung 23 7 6 10 21:32 27
12 Mokpo 23 5 9 9 22:36 24
13 Yangpyeong 23 3 8 12 28:45 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 23 1 7 15 23:51 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)