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Ulsan Citizen vs Jeonbuk 2

South Korea South Korea

K3 League 2025 Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Hwang Dae-Young
74'
Jang Nam-ung

AI Match Summary

The K3 League 2025 game between Ulsan Citizen and Jeonbuk 2 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ulsan Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Jeonbuk 2
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ulsan Citizen come out ahead of Jeonbuk 2 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ulsan Citizen's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular K3 League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Jeonbuk 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Jeonbuk 2
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1 3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Jeonbuk 2
0:0
Nov 1, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Jeonbuk 2
1:0
Sep 30, 2025 K3 League
Jeonbuk 2 vs Ulsan Citizen
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Hwang Dae-Young
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Jeonbuk 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
Jeonbuk 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Jeonbuk 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeonbuk 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Jeonbuk 2's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Ulsan Citizen scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Jeonbuk 2
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimhae28187348:2061
2Siheung Citizen28176545:2557
3Pocheon28167547:2855
4Daejeon Korail28147748:3249
5Gyeongju KHNP28129734:2945
6Busan Kyotong281421235:3444
7Changwon28127931:2343
8Yangpyeong281341127:2443
9Yeoju Citizen281061231:3536
10Paju Frontier281061227:3236
11Gangneung28871338:4531
12Chuncheon28931627:3730
13Ulsan Citizen28561720:3821
14Jeonbuk 228551828:5120
15Mokpo28442018:5116