Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kim J.
54' Event
Park Jung-woo
60' Event
Park D.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Ulsan Citizen and Mokpo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Ulsan Citizen
15%
Draws
21%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ulsan Citizen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ulsan Citizen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Mokpo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 13 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.1 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Ulsan Citizen
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Ulsan Citizen
1:2
May 23, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Park D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jung-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
Mokpo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Mokpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulsan Citizen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Mokpo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ulsan Citizen remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Mokpo
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1 Goals Conceded 2.25
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
11 Sept
Daejeon Korail
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
05 Sept
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 2
Gyeongju KHNP
30 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Busan Kyotong
23 Aug
Jeonbuk 2
0 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
19 Aug
Ulsan Citizen
0 : 1
Gwangju FC
Page 1 of 7

Mokpo

(Away)
06 Sept
Mokpo
0 : 1
Chuncheon
30 Aug
Mokpo
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
22 Aug
Pocheon
2 : 0
Mokpo
25 Jul
Dangjin Citizen
6 : 1
Mokpo
15 Jul
Cheonan City
2 : 1
Mokpo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Siheung Citizen 21 15 4 2 32:18 49
2 Pocheon 21 12 6 3 36:19 42
3 Daejeon Korail 22 11 5 6 31:17 38
4 Busan Kyotong 21 10 7 4 36:21 37
5 Chuncheon 22 8 5 9 39:35 29
6 Gyeongju KHNP 21 7 8 6 30:28 29
7 Dangjin Citizen 21 8 4 9 39:33 28
8 Ulsan Citizen 22 8 4 10 23:24 28
9 Gangneung 22 7 6 9 20:30 27
10 Changwon 20 6 8 6 22:22 26
11 Yeoju Citizen 22 6 7 9 24:28 25
12 Mokpo 21 3 9 9 16:34 18
13 Yangpyeong 21 3 8 10 27:41 17
14 Jeonbuk 2 21 1 7 13 21:46 10
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)