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Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Kim J.
54' Event
Park Jung-woo
60' Event
Park D.

AI Match Summary

The K3 League game between Ulsan Citizen and Mokpo finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulsan Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ulsan Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Mokpo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ulsan Citizen carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ulsan Citizen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ulsan Citizen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Mokpo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Mokpo
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo
4:1
Mar 21, 2026 K3 League
Mokpo vs Ulsan Citizen
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 K3 League
Mokpo vs Ulsan Citizen
1:2
May 23, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo
1:0
Jul 14, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Mokpo
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Park D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Mokpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Park Jung-woo
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
Mokpo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Mokpo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ulsan Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Mokpo has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Ulsan Citizen found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Mokpo
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429