Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Gong Min-Hyun

AI Match Summary

Siheung Citizen in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Siheung Citizen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ulsan Citizen
6%
Draws
4%
Siheung Citizen
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Siheung Citizen lately — more wins on the board than Ulsan Citizen.
  • Ulsan Citizen are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Siheung Citizen here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Siheung Citizen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Siheung Citizen
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 K3-K4 League Cup
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
0:1
May 9, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
Sep 26, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Siheung Citizen
0:1
May 31, 2025 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 K3 League
Siheung Citizen vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Citizen Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Siheung Citizen Compare

Top Goalscorer Gong Min-Hyun
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 95 / 100
Siheung Citizen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Siheung Citizen

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Citizen has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Siheung Citizen conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Ulsan Citizen found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Siheung Citizen
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen17124124:1440
2Pocheon17105230:1535
3Daejeon Korail1794427:1231
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1874729:2625
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Yeoju Citizen1756620:2221
8Gyeongju KHNP1747623:2419
9Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
10Gangneung1754815:2619
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1729614:2515
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429