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Stadium Background

Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong

South Korea South Korea

K3 League Ulsan Complex Stadium, Ulsan
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K3 League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ulsan Citizen
33%
Draws
27%
Yangpyeong
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ulsan Citizen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Yangpyeong at 2.25 per game, Ulsan Citizen at 1.25.
  • Ulsan Citizen are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular K3 League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Ulsan Citizen Clean Sheet 68%
Yangpyeong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Citizen Yangpyeong
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.25 2.25
Goals Conceded 1 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen
2:0
Jun 28, 2024 K3 League
Ulsan Citizen vs Yangpyeong
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 K3 League
Yangpyeong vs Ulsan Citizen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Citizen 50 / 100
Yangpyeong 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Citizen Yangpyeong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ULS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Ulsan Citizen stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Yangpyeong's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Ulsan Citizen found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Citizen VS Yangpyeong
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulsan Citizen

(Home)
15 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 2
Seoul E-Land
10 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
1 : 0
Yeoju Citizen
04 Jul
Ulsan Citizen
2 : 1
Chuncheon
27 Jun
Ulsan Citizen
4 : 1
Mokpo
20 Jun
Dangjin Citizen
1 : 1
Ulsan Citizen
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Yangpyeong

(Away)
15 Jul
Hwaseong
4 : 3
Yangpyeong
12 Jul
Yangpyeong
5 : 2
Jeonbuk 2
04 Jul
Ulsan FC
1 : 5
Yangpyeong
27 Jun
Chuncheon
3 : 3
Yangpyeong
20 Jun
Yangpyeong
1 : 2
Yeoju Citizen
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Siheung Citizen18124224:1540
2Pocheon18106231:1636
3Daejeon Korail1895428:1332
4Busan Kyotong1786326:1330
5Dangjin Citizen1984735:2728
6Changwon1767418:1625
7Gyeongju KHNP1857624:2422
8Yeoju Citizen1857621:2322
9Gangneung1855816:2720
10Ulsan Citizen1754817:1919
11Chuncheon1745830:2917
12Yangpyeong1737720:2916
13Mokpo1829715:3115
14Jeonbuk 218161119:429
Relegation - K3 League (Relegation)