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Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium
Tue, Jul 21, 2026
VS
10:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Hyundai host Incheon in the K League 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: Ulsan Hyundai at 1 goals for, 1.38 against; Incheon at 1 for, 0.5 against. Past meetings favor Ulsan Hyundai slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 0.75 vs 1.19, favoring Ulsan Hyundai. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ulsan Hyundai
39%
Draws
30%
Incheon
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Incheon haven't matched Ulsan Hyundai's recent run of results.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 20%
Incheon Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulsan Hyundai Incheon
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2
May 14, 2025 Korean Cup
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:0
Jul 17, 2024 Korean Cup
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
1:0
May 29, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 32 / 100
Incheon 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulsan Hyundai Incheon

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai scored in 67% of their last 33 games.

Incheon let in goals in 68% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Ulsan Hyundai has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ulsan Hyundai VS Incheon
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418