Sport Picks
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South Korea
K League 1 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium, Ulsan 
Match Events
40'
40'
Ferrier M.
Assist: Kim Seong-Min
42'
42'
Lee Dong-Gyeong
Assist: Bojanic D.
46'
46'
Sub
Trojak M. In: Lee Gyu-Seong
Out: Trojak M.
AI Match Summary
Incheon in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Incheon.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Ulsan Hyundai at 1.36 per game, Incheon at 1.2.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Ulsan Hyundai taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 20%
Incheon Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulsan Hyundai | Incheon |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.36 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 12, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
2:1
Jul 21, 2026 K League 1
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
1:2
May 14, 2025 Korean Cup
Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon
3:0
Sep 22, 2024 K League 1
Incheon vs Ulsan Hyundai
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulsan Hyundai Compare
Top Goalscorer Lee Dong-Gyeong
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Incheon Compare
Top Goalscorer Ferrier M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulsan Hyundai 36 / 100
Incheon 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulsan Hyundai Incheon
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ulsan Hyundai scored in 75% of their last 28 games.
Incheon let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Ulsan Hyundai has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Ulsan Hyundai VS Incheon
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulsan Hyundai
(Home) 19 Sept
Anyang
2 : 1 Ulsan Hyundai
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1 Incheon
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0 Seoul
05 Sept
Jeju SK
0 : 0 Ulsan Hyundai
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1 Incheon
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0 Seoul
29 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1 Gimcheon Sangmu
16 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 3 Gangwon
02 Aug
Ulsan Hyundai
3 : 1 Anyang
Page 1 of 3
Incheon
(Away) 09 Oct
Incheon
3 : 0 Pohang
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0 Incheon
20 Sept
Incheon
1 : 1 Daejeon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1 Incheon
08 Sept
Incheon
2 : 1 Bucheon FC 1995
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 0 Incheon
12 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 1 Incheon
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0 Incheon
26 Aug
Anyang
2 : 1 Incheon
23 Aug
Gwangju FC
0 : 1 Incheon
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Seoul | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 56:25 | 62 |
| 2 | Ulsan Hyundai | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 45:40 | 47 |
| 3 | Gangwon | 31 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 38:28 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeju SK | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 35:29 | 46 |
| 5 | Jeonbuk | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 39:30 | 44 |
| 6 | Daejeon | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:38 | 43 |
| 7 | Incheon | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:33 | 42 |
| 8 | Pohang | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 9 | Anyang | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 38:47 | 38 |
| 10 | Gimcheon Sangmu | 30 | 5 | 18 | 7 | 30:36 | 33 |
| 11 | Bucheon FC 1995 | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 31:42 | 32 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 30 | 1 | 12 | 17 | 21:63 | 15 |
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)
