Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 2025 Ulsan Munsu Football Stadium

Jeju SK

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Ulsan Hyundai play Jeju SK in the K League 1 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ulsan Hyundai averaged 1.1 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. Jeju SK averaged 1 goals scored and 1.21 conceded. In past meetings, Ulsan Hyundai won 4, Jeju SK won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 13, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.13 for Jeju SK. This points to a Ulsan Hyundai double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Ulsan Hyundai

16%

Draws

37%

Jeju SK

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Ulsan Hyundai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence

Ulsan Hyundai picked up more points recently compared to Jeju SK.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 1.13 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 70%

Over 2.5 Goals 41%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 12%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Ulsan Hyundai Clean Sheet 21%

Jeju SK Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 63%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulsan Hyundai	Jeju SK
Matches Played	30	28
Wins	10	9
Draws	7	6
Losses	13	13
Goals Scored	1.1	1
Goals Conceded	1.37	1.21
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 0 - 1

2:1

Mar 18, 2026 K League 1

Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai

Possession: 55% - 54% Cards: 3 - 3

0:2

Nov 30, 2025 K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK

Possession: 47% - 42% Cards: 1 - 0

0:1

Aug 9, 2025 K League 1

Ulsan Hyundai vs Jeju SK

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

May 11, 2025 K League 1

Jeju SK vs Ulsan Hyundai

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulsan Hyundai Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Seung-Sub

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulsan Hyundai 47 / 100

Jeju SK 35 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulsan Hyundai Jeju SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ulsan Hyundai or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +20.3%

2.56

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +17.3%

2.86

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ulsan Hyundai attacking → ← attacking Jeju SK

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulsan Hyundai scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Jeju SK let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Ulsan Hyundai went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Jeju SK lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

37 Points in last 5 33

1.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gwangju FC	38	15	9	14	40:41	54
2	Anyang	38	14	7	17	49:47	49
3	Ulsan Hyundai	38	11	11	16	42:50	44
4	Suwon FC	38	11	9	18	51:58	42
5	Jeju SK	38	10	9	19	40:53	39
6	Daegu	38	7	13	18	47:67	34