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Match Events
AI Match Summary
FC Derby in this Campeonato Nacional 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Derby.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to FC Derby lately — more wins on the board than Ultramarina.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on FC Derby taking it.
- Regular Campeonato Nacional 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ultramarina | FC Derby |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 0.75 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ultramarina Compare
FC Derby Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Ultramarina scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
FC Derby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
Ultramarina has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Academico do Sal | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 8 |
| 3 | Rosariense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Juventude | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8:12 | 6 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeira | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:5 | 12 |
| 2 | Morabeza | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Barreirense | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7:15 | 2 |
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boavista da Praia | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12:2 | 16 |
| 2 | FC Derby | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:4 | 11 |
| 3 | Ultramarina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 4 | Sanjoanenses | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | 2 |