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Ultramarina vs Juventude da Brava

Cape Verde Cape Verde

Campeonato Nacional 2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato Nacional 2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Ultramarina
35%
Draws
32%
Juventude da Brava
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ultramarina lately — more wins on the board than Juventude da Brava.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ultramarina taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional 2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 17%
Juventude da Brava Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ultramarina Juventude da Brava
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 7 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 16 3
Goals Scored 1.07 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2013 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Juventude da Brava
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ultramarina 36 / 100
Juventude da Brava 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ultramarina Juventude da Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Juventude da Brava has conceded goals in 100% of their last 5 outings.

Ultramarina found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Juventude da Brava registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ultramarina VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ultramarina

(Home)
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0
Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0
Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0
Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1
Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6

Juventude da Brava

(Away)
08 Jun
Juventude da Brava
1 : 4
Desportivo Praia
01 Jun
Onze Estrelas
1 : 1
Juventude da Brava
26 May
Juventude da Brava
0 : 1
Academico do Sal
18 May
Juventude da Brava
0 : 1
Mindelense
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1
Juventude da Brava

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Desportivo Praia 5 4 1 0 12:2 13
2 Mindelense 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
3 Academico do Sal 5 2 3 0 3:1 9
4 Ultramarina 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
5 Onze Estrelas 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
6 Juventude da Brava 5 0 2 3 3:8 2
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Academica do Fogo 5 3 2 0 4:0 11
2 Academica Porto Novo 5 3 1 1 5:1 10
3 Sporting Praia 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
4 Solpontense FC 5 1 3 1 6:6 6
5 Academico 83 5 0 2 3 5:11 2
6 Scorpion Vermelho 5 0 1 4 1:6 1
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2013 (Play Offs)