Sport Picks
Ultramarina vs Sporting da Brava
Cape Verde
Campeonato Nacional 2019 
AI Match Summary
The Campeonato Nacional 2019 game between Ultramarina and Sporting da Brava finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
13%
35%
52%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sporting da Brava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Ultramarina carry the better recent record into this one.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Sporting da Brava taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Ultramarina Clean Sheet 16%
Sporting da Brava Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ultramarina | Sporting da Brava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 24 |
| Wins | 8 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 16 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.17 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Sporting da Brava
2:2
Apr 20, 2019 Campeonato Nacional
Sporting da Brava vs Ultramarina
2:2
Jun 6, 2015 Campeonato Nacional
Ultramarina vs Sporting da Brava
4:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ultramarina 23 / 100
Sporting da Brava 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ultramarina Sporting da Brava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sporting da Brava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sporting da Brava has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.
H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.
Ultramarina found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Solid form: Ultramarina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ultramarina VS Sporting da Brava
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ultramarina
(Home) 24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0 Sanjoanenses
18 May
Boavista da Praia
3 : 0 Ultramarina
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1 Academica Praia
02 May
Palmeira
3 : 0 Ultramarina
26 Apr
Mindelense
2 : 1 Ultramarina
Page 1 of 6
24 May
Ultramarina
0 : 0 Sanjoanenses
11 May
Ultramarina
1 : 1 Academica Praia
18 Apr
Ultramarina
1 : 0 Botafogo
09 Jun
Ultramarina
1 : 2 FC Derby
19 May
Ultramarina
0 : 3 Boavista da Praia
Page 1 of 3
Sporting da Brava
(Away) 12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0 Sporting da Brava
04 May
Sporting da Brava
3 : 2 Academico 83
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2 Sporting da Brava
20 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 2 Ultramarina
13 Apr
Sporting da Brava
2 : 1 Santo Crucifixo
Page 1 of 5
12 May
Santo Crucifixo
3 : 0 Sporting da Brava
27 Apr
Ultramarina
2 : 2 Sporting da Brava
06 Apr
Academico 83
2 : 0 Sporting da Brava
10 Jun
Academica do Mindelo
2 : 1 Sporting da Brava
27 May
Sporting Praia
1 : 0 Sporting da Brava
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mindelense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 11 |
| 2 | Academica Praia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Academica Porto Novo | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | 7 |
| 4 | Academica do Fogo | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ultramarina | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 13:9 | 11 |
| 2 | Santo Crucifixo | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 3 | Sporting da Brava | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:12 | 8 |
| 4 | Academico 83 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | 5 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oasis | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Onze Estrelas | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Celtic | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:1 | 9 |
| 4 | GD Varandinha | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4:9 | 2 |
Promotion - Campeonato Nacional 2019 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams
