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Ulverstone vs Launceston City U21

Australia Australia

Tasmania Northern Championship 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tasmania Northern Championship 2025 game between Ulverstone and Launceston City U21 finished 6-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulverstone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Ulverstone
15%
Draws
57%
Launceston City U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Launceston City U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulverstone haven't matched Launceston City U21's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%
Launceston City U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulverstone Launceston City U21
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 1 0
Losses 20 17
Goals Scored 2.7 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.6 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone vs Launceston City U21
6:2
Jun 28, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone
3:2
Apr 26, 2025 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone
3:3
Aug 17, 2024 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone vs Launceston City U21
5:1
Jun 22, 2024 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston City U21 vs Ulverstone
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulverstone 30 / 100
Launceston City U21 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulverstone Launceston City U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Ulverstone found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Launceston City U21 let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Difficult form: Launceston City U21 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulverstone VS Launceston City U21
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulverstone

(Home)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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Launceston City U21

(Away)
08 Aug
Devonport U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
01 Aug
Riverside Olympic U21
0 : 1
Launceston City U21
25 Jul
Launceston City U21
0 : 3
Northern Rangers
18 Jul
Launceston City U21
0 : 1
Ulverstone U21
11 Jul
Northern Rangers
5 : 0
Launceston City U21
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