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Ulverstone vs Launceston United - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Tasmania Westside Park, Ulverstone
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Dickson B.
45' Event
Spicer W.
83' Event
Nemoto K.
Penalty Missed

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this NPL Tasmania matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Ulverstone
15%
Draws
0%
Launceston United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ulverstone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ulverstone lately — more wins on the board than Launceston United.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Ulverstone taking it.
  • Regular NPL Tasmania form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ulverstone Clean Sheet 10%
Launceston United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulverstone Launceston United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 3
Draws 1 2
Losses 20 25
Goals Scored 2.7 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.6 4.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Launceston United vs Ulverstone
3:2
Mar 22, 2026 NPL Tasmania
Ulverstone vs Launceston United
1:1
Aug 27, 2022 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone vs Launceston United
2:0
Jul 2, 2022 Tasmania Northern Championship
Launceston United vs Ulverstone
0:0
Apr 23, 2022 Tasmania Northern Championship
Ulverstone vs Launceston United
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulverstone Compare

Top Goalscorer Nemoto K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Launceston United Compare

Top Goalscorer Spicer W.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulverstone 56 / 100
Launceston United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulverstone Launceston United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulverstone Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Launceston United conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Launceston United registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Ulverstone scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ulverstone VS Launceston United
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.75 Goals Conceded 3.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulverstone

(Home)
08 Aug
Ulverstone
3 : 4
South East United
02 Aug
Clarence Zebras
1 : 0
Ulverstone
19 Jul
Ulverstone
0 : 2
Glenorchy Knights
11 Jul
South Hobart
2 : 0
Ulverstone
04 Jul
Ulverstone
2 : 1
Kingborough Lions
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Launceston United

(Away)
08 Aug
Glenorchy Knights
2 : 1
Launceston United
01 Aug
Kingborough Lions
2 : 0
Launceston United
25 Jul
Launceston United
0 : 6
Devonport
22 Jul
Launceston City
4 : 2
Launceston United
19 Jul
South East United
4 : 1
Launceston United
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