Sport Picks
Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Russia
FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk 
Match Events
19'
19'
Gadzhimuradov R.
Assist: Berdnikov A.
29'
29'
Urvantsev M.
46'
46'
Sub
Bagatelia L. In: Novikov D.
Out: Bagatelia L.
AI Match Summary
Chelyabinsk in this FNL matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chelyabinsk.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chelyabinsk
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Ulyanovsk have won more games recently than Chelyabinsk.
- 37% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 21%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulyanovsk | Chelyabinsk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 27 |
| Wins | 9 | 5 |
| Draws | 8 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.24 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 2, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk
0:2
Mar 15, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Ulyanovsk
1:0
May 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Ulyanovsk
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ulyanovsk Compare
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Chelyabinsk Compare
Top Goalscorer Gadzhimuradov R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Urvantsev M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ulyanovsk 32 / 100
Chelyabinsk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ulyanovsk Chelyabinsk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chelyabinsk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chelyabinsk let in goals in 85% of their last 27 matches.
Ulyanovsk scored in 62% of their last 29 games.
H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Ulyanovsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ulyanovsk VS Chelyabinsk
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Ulyanovsk
(Home) 04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2 Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2 Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1 Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
05 Sept
Ulyanovsk
3 : 0 Arsenal Tula
22 Aug
Ulyanovsk
1 : 3 Shinnik Yaroslavl
02 Aug
Ulyanovsk
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 3
Chelyabinsk
(Away) 26 Sept
Chelyabinsk
1 : 1 Yenisey
18 Sept
Chelyabinsk
2 : 1 Ufa
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
05 Sept
Chelyabinsk
0 : 1 S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Kamaz
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
10 Sept
Dynamo Barnaul
0 : 2 Chelyabinsk
30 Aug
PFC Sochi
2 : 1 Chelyabinsk
23 Aug
Leningradets
1 : 1 Chelyabinsk
09 Aug
R. Volgograd
4 : 1 Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pari Nizhny Novgorod | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 36:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Ural | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:6 | 25 |
| 3 | S. Kostroma | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 18:13 | 24 |
| 4 | PFC Sochi | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Veles Moscow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 17:16 | 23 |
| 6 | Torpedo Moscow | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21:9 | 21 |
| 7 | Ufa | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:13 | 18 |
| 8 | R. Volgograd | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Arsenal Tula | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15:24 | 16 |
| 10 | Shinnik Yaroslavl | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 11 | Chelyabinsk | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17:21 | 15 |
| 12 | Yenisey | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 15:20 | 14 |
| 13 | Ulyanovsk | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 14 | Leningradets | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 10:20 | 13 |
| 15 | Neftekhimik | 13 | 4 | 0 | 9 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 16 | Kamaz | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11:19 | 9 |
| 17 | Tekstilshtik | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 18 | SKA Khabarovsk | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:23 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)
