Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Sun, Aug 2, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulyanovsk host Chelyabinsk in the FNL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Ulyanovsk at 0.88 goals for, 1.5 against; Chelyabinsk at 1 for, 1.5 against. Head-to-head, Ulyanovsk have won 1 to Chelyabinsk's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Ulyanovsk. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Ulyanovsk
33%
Draws
40%
Chelyabinsk
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Chelyabinsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Chelyabinsk average 1 goals a game right now, well clear of Ulyanovsk's 0.88.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Chelyabinsk taking it.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 19%
Chelyabinsk Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Chelyabinsk
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 9 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk
2:2
Aug 9, 2025 FNL
Chelyabinsk vs Ulyanovsk
1:0
May 11, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk
0:1
Mar 23, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Chelyabinsk vs Ulyanovsk
0:0
Feb 7, 2024 Club Friendly
Chelyabinsk vs Ulyanovsk
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 28 / 100
Chelyabinsk 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Chelyabinsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulyanovsk scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Chelyabinsk let in goals in 75% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ulyanovsk remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS Chelyabinsk
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
19 Jul
Torpedo Moscow
3 : 1
Ulyanovsk
11 Jul
Ulyanovsk
1 : 2
Yenisey
02 Jul
Veles Moscow
0 : 2
Ulyanovsk
28 Jun
S. Kostroma
1 : 1
Ulyanovsk
26 Jun
Baltika
3 : 0
Ulyanovsk
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Chelyabinsk

(Away)
19 Jul
Veles Moscow
1 : 0
Chelyabinsk
13 Jul
Chelyabinsk
3 : 1
SKA Khabarovsk
06 Jul
Chelyabinsk
2 : 2
Torpedo Miass
04 Jul
Ural
1 : 1
Chelyabinsk
20 Jun
Ural
3 : 0
Chelyabinsk
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1S. Kostroma22005:16
2Pari Nizhny Novgorod22006:36
3Torpedo Moscow22004:16
4Veles Moscow22002:06
5Ufa21105:24
6Shinnik Yaroslavl21104:24
7Ural21013:13
8Neftekhimik21011:13
9Chelyabinsk21013:23
10R. Volgograd21013:43
11Arsenal Tula21012:23
12Yenisey21012:43
13Tekstilshtik20113:41
14PFC Sochi20112:41
15Ulyanovsk20022:50
16Kamaz20022:50
17SKA Khabarovsk20021:40
18Leningradets20020:50
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
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