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Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Umnikov M.
26'
Novikov M.
31'
Bilalov B.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 game between Ulyanovsk and Krasnodar 2 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ulyanovsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Ulyanovsk
30%
Draws
16%
Krasnodar 2
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ulyanovsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulyanovsk carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ulyanovsk are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ulyanovsk have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 19%
Krasnodar 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk Krasnodar 2
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.19 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 20, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Krasnodar 2 vs Ulyanovsk
1:3
Aug 25, 2024 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2
2:0
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2
1:2
Sep 9, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Krasnodar 2 vs Ulyanovsk
1:2
Apr 29, 2023 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs Krasnodar 2
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulyanovsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Korobov D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kamenshchikov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Krasnodar 2 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 58 / 100
Krasnodar 2 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk Krasnodar 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ulyanovsk Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulyanovsk scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Krasnodar 2 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ulyanovsk stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
09 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
0 : 1
Ulyanovsk
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Krasnodar 2

(Away)
16 Nov
Krasnodar 2
2 : 3
M. Lipetsk
09 Nov
D. Bryansk
2 : 2
Krasnodar 2
02 Nov
Krasnodar 2
0 : 2
Khimik
26 Oct
Torpedo Miass
1 : 1
Krasnodar 2
20 Oct
Krasnodar 2
1 : 3
Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rodina Moscow 2 18 10 5 3 39:22 35
2 Ulyanovsk 18 10 5 3 32:18 35
3 Torpedo Miass 18 9 5 4 19:16 32
4 Mashuk 18 6 7 5 23:22 25
5 D. Bryansk 18 5 7 6 22:21 22
6 FC Murom 18 6 4 8 18:24 22
7 Irtysh Omsk 18 6 3 9 19:28 21
8 Khimik 18 5 4 9 22:30 19
9 M. Lipetsk 18 4 5 9 22:26 17
10 Krasnodar 2 18 3 7 8 24:33 16
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2024/2025 (Spring Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)