Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulyanovsk vs S. Kostroma - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

FNL Trud Stadium, Ulyanovsk
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Kalmykov A.
36'
Sub
Krasilnichenko O. In: Bagatelia L.
Out: Krasilnichenko O.
41'
Bykov A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL game between Ulyanovsk and S. Kostroma finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward S. Kostroma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Ulyanovsk
20%
Draws
51%
S. Kostroma
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Kostroma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • S. Kostroma carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ulyanovsk are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular FNL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Ulyanovsk Clean Sheet 20%
S. Kostroma Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulyanovsk S. Kostroma
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs S. Kostroma
0:1
Jun 28, 2026 Club Friendly
S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
Mar 28, 2026 FNL
Ulyanovsk vs S. Kostroma
1:0
Sep 29, 2025 FNL
S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk
1:1
May 4, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
S. Kostroma vs Ulyanovsk
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulyanovsk Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

S. Kostroma Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalmykov A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulyanovsk 36 / 100
S. Kostroma 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulyanovsk S. Kostroma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ulyanovsk scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: S. Kostroma conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Ulyanovsk remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulyanovsk VS S. Kostroma
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulyanovsk

(Home)
10 Oct
R. Volgograd
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
04 Oct
Veles Moscow
1 : 2
Ulyanovsk
26 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
Leningradets
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
13 Sept
Ufa
2 : 2
Ulyanovsk
Page 1 of 6

S. Kostroma

(Away)
09 Oct
Arsenal Tula
3 : 2
S. Kostroma
26 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 2
Ural
18 Sept
Ulyanovsk
0 : 1
S. Kostroma
14 Sept
S. Kostroma
1 : 0
Neftekhimik
08 Sept
Ryazan
0 : 2
S. Kostroma
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13 11 1 1 41:14 34
2 Veles Moscow 14 8 2 4 19:17 26
3 Ural 13 7 4 2 21:8 25
4 Torpedo Moscow 13 7 3 3 24:10 24
5 S. Kostroma 13 7 3 3 18:13 24
6 PFC Sochi 12 7 2 3 21:14 23
7 Shinnik Yaroslavl 13 4 7 2 17:13 19
8 R. Volgograd 13 5 3 5 22:16 18
9 Ufa 12 4 6 2 16:13 18
10 Arsenal Tula 13 4 4 5 15:24 16
11 Chelyabinsk 13 4 3 6 17:21 15
12 Ulyanovsk 14 4 3 7 18:21 15
13 Yenisey 13 3 5 5 15:25 14
14 Leningradets 13 3 4 6 11:23 13
15 Neftekhimik 13 4 0 9 9:19 12
16 Kamaz 13 2 4 7 14:22 10
17 SKA Khabarovsk 13 1 4 8 14:26 7
18 Tekstilshtik 13 1 4 8 8:21 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League (Relegation)