Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ulytau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg
Sat, Jul 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ulytau play Kaisar Kyzylorda in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Ulytau averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.3 conceded. Kaisar Kyzylorda averaged 0.96 goals scored and 1.32 conceded. In past meetings, Ulytau won 0, Kaisar Kyzylorda won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Jun 20, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Ulytau and 1.06 for Kaisar Kyzylorda. This points to a Ulytau double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ulytau
35%
Draws
29%
Kaisar Kyzylorda
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ulytau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

72% / Medium Confidence
  • Ulytau picked up more points recently compared to Kaisar Kyzylorda.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Ulytau Clean Sheet 22%
Kaisar Kyzylorda Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ulytau Kaisar Kyzylorda
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 6
Draws 10 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.03 0.96
Goals Conceded 1.3 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 20, 2026 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ulytau
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Premier League
Ulytau vs Kaisar Kyzylorda
1:1
Jun 22, 2025 Premier League
Kaisar Kyzylorda vs Ulytau
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 37 / 100
Kaisar Kyzylorda 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ulytau Kaisar Kyzylorda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Ulytau or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Ulytau attacking → ← attacking Kaisar Kyzylorda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda let in goals in 75% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Ulytau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kaisar Kyzylorda lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 31
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Kairat Almaty18116134:1239
2Ordabasy15114027:937
3Okzhetpes1676321:2127
4Yelimay Semey1565423:1923
5FC Astana1565421:1723
6Ulytau1565413:1423
7Aktobe1564518:1422
8Atyrau1539311:1118
9Zhetysu Taldykorgan1546520:2218
10Zhenis1546513:1818
11Kaisar Kyzylorda1638513:1917
12Kyzylzhar1643917:2415
13Tobol1543816:2315
14Kaspij Aktau15321010:1911
15Ertis Pavlodar1517714:2110
16Altai1517710:1810