Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Premier League Stadion Metallurg

Ulytau

1 - 1

Aktobe

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Abylaykhan R.

43'

Sub

Kairov B. In: Tanzharikov A.

Out: Kairov B.

46'

Sub

Pastoriza A. In: Dosmagambetov T.

Out: Pastoriza A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Ulytau and Aktobe finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Ulytau

40%

Draws

29%

Aktobe

Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence

Aktobe carry the better recent record into this one.
40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 36%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Ulytau Clean Sheet 20%

Aktobe Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulytau	Aktobe
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	8	5
Losses	9	13
Goals Scored	0.63	1.38
Goals Conceded	0.88	1
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 Premier League

Ulytau vs Aktobe

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sep 20, 2025 Premier League

Ulytau vs Aktobe

Possession: 44% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

2:1

Apr 26, 2025 Premier League

Aktobe vs Ulytau

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Vachiberadze B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Aktobe Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosah D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 32 / 100

Aktobe 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulytau Aktobe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ulytau's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Aktobe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Ulytau remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS Aktobe

0.63 Goals Scored 1.38

0.88 Goals Conceded 1

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	17	12	4	1	30:12	40
2	Kairat Almaty	18	11	6	1	34:12	39
3	FC Astana	17	8	5	4	25:19	29
4	Okzhetpes	17	7	6	4	22:24	27
5	Yelimay Semey	16	7	5	4	24:19	26
6	Ulytau	17	7	5	5	14:15	26
7	Aktobe	17	7	4	6	22:18	25
8	Zhenis	17	5	6	6	14:19	21
9	Atyrau	16	3	9	4	12:13	18
10	Zhetysu Taldykorgan	17	4	6	7	21:25	18
11	Tobol	17	5	3	9	19:25	18
12	Kaisar Kyzylorda	18	3	9	6	13:20	18
13	Kaspij Aktau	17	5	2	10	15:22	17
14	Altai	17	3	7	7	12:18	16
15	Kyzylzhar	17	4	3	10	17:25	15
16	Ertis Pavlodar	17	1	8	8	14:22	11