Sport Picks
Ulytau vs Ertis Pavlodar
Kazakhstan
Premier League Stadion Metallurg 
AI Match Summary
Ulytau host Ertis Pavlodar in the Premier League. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ulytau at 0.63 goals for, 1 against; Ertis Pavlodar at 0.75 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Ulytau have won 0 to Ertis Pavlodar's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on May 27, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 0.94 vs 0.88, favoring Ulytau. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Ertis Pavlodar's 0.75 goals per match outpaces what Ulytau have produced (0.63).
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ulytau | Ertis Pavlodar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 9 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Ulytau scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Ertis Pavlodar let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Ulytau went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 34:12 | 39 |
| 3 | FC Astana | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 25:19 | 29 |
| 4 | Okzhetpes | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 22:24 | 27 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 26 |
| 6 | Ulytau | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 14:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Aktobe | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 22:18 | 25 |
| 8 | Zhenis | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 14:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Atyrau | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 12:13 | 18 |
| 10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:25 | 18 |
| 11 | Tobol | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | 18 |
| 12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 13:20 | 18 |
| 13 | Kaspij Aktau | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 15:22 | 17 |
| 14 | Altai | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 12:18 | 16 |
| 15 | Kyzylzhar | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Ertis Pavlodar | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 14:22 | 11 |