Sport Picks

Kazakhstan

Kazakhstan Cup 2024

Ulytau

1 - 0

Maqtaaral

Our Tip

Match Events

Sub

Rzataev B. In: Zhankhaev R.

Out: Rzataev B.

20'

Aripov D.

25'

Sub

Elbaev B. In: Serik N.

Out: Elbaev B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Ulytau advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Ulytau

20%

Draws

40%

Maqtaaral

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Ulytau come out ahead of Maqtaaral on wins alone.
36% — that's where the model lands on Ulytau taking it.
Ulytau have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Ulytau, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Ulytau Clean Sheet 20%

Maqtaaral Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ulytau	Maqtaaral
Matches Played	31	30
Wins	11	9
Draws	9	5
Losses	11	16
Goals Scored	1.06	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.23	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 16, 2024 Kazakhstan Cup

Ulytau vs Maqtaaral

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ulytau Compare

Top Goalscorer Chalkin M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.58

Maqtaaral Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ulytau 36 / 100

Maqtaaral 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ulytau Maqtaaral

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maqtaaral's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ulytau scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Maqtaaral's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Ulytau VS -

1.13 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

38% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ulytau

(Home)

18 Sept

Aktobe

2 : 2

Ulytau

13 Sept

Ulytau

0 : 3

Altai

06 Sept

Tobol

3 : 1

Ulytau

29 Aug

Ulytau

3 : 0

Zhetysu Taldykorgan

15 Aug

Kairat Almaty

3 : 1

Ulytau

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Maqtaaral

(Away)

15 Mar

FC Ekibastuz

3 : 2

Maqtaaral

19 Mar

Maqtaaral

0 : 2

SD Family

16 Mar

Ulytau

1 : 0

Maqtaaral

29 Oct

Okzhetpes

1 : 1

Maqtaaral

21 Oct

Maqtaaral

2 : 1

Kyzylzhar

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