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UM Escobedo vs Atletico Albericia

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Pena G. B.
23' Event
Setien L.
37' Event
Setien L.

AI Match Summary

UM Escobedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UM Escobedo
6%
Draws
4%
Atletico Albericia
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UM Escobedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UM Escobedo lately — more wins on the board than Atletico Albericia.
  • Model gives UM Escobedo a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 16%
Atletico Albericia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo Atletico Albericia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 17 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Atletico Albericia
3:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs UM Escobedo
2:1
Feb 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs UM Escobedo
0:2
Sep 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Atletico Albericia
2:2
Feb 4, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Atletico Albericia vs UM Escobedo
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Pena G. B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Atletico Albericia Compare

Top Goalscorer Setien L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 84 / 100
Atletico Albericia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo Atletico Albericia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Attacking prowess: UM Escobedo scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Atletico Albericia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

UM Escobedo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS Atletico Albericia
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnastic de Torrelavega34265386:1583
2CD Laredo34218563:2871
3CD Tropezon34214950:2767
4Guarnizo34199647:2666
5UM Escobedo342121165:4365
6Vimenor34178947:3659
7Atletico Albericia341751261:4556
8Cayon CD341751250:4156
9Torina341581139:4053
10Bezana341381343:3847
11Castro341081644:4738
12Selaya34881832:4432
13SD Revilla34871935:6331
14CD Barquereno34862037:6430
15UC Cartes346101828:5228
16CD Colindres346101827:4728
17CD Montanas del Pas34682035:8726
18SD Noja34472322:6819