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UM Escobedo vs Bezana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Urdiales H.
40' Event
Garcia Justo H.
79' Event
Fresno J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 game between UM Escobedo and Bezana finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Bezana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
UM Escobedo
20%
Draws
61%
Bezana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bezana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UM Escobedo come out ahead of Bezana on wins alone.
  • Model gives Bezana a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 10%
Bezana Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo Bezana
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 12
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.59 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Bezana
0:3
Feb 21, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UM Escobedo
0:2
Oct 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Bezana
3:2
Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Bezana
1:2
Oct 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Bezana vs UM Escobedo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Bezana Compare

Top Goalscorer Urdiales H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia Justo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 10 / 100
Bezana 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo Bezana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bezana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

UM Escobedo scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

Bezana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Solid form: UM Escobedo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS Bezana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
10 Oct
UM Escobedo
2 : 3
CD Revilla
03 Oct
Solares
0 : 0
UM Escobedo
26 Sept
UM Escobedo
2 : 1
Selaya
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
Page 1 of 6

Bezana

(Away)
10 Oct
Guarnizo
1 : 1
Bezana
03 Oct
Bezana
1 : 0
Vimenor
27 Sept
CD Barquereno
0 : 2
Bezana
19 Sept
Bezana
3 : 2
Naval Reinosa
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Tropezon 5 5 0 0 11:2 15
2 Bezana 5 5 0 0 11:3 15
3 CD Laredo 5 4 0 1 12:2 12
4 Vimenor 5 3 1 1 7:3 10
5 Cayon CD 5 3 1 1 5:2 10
6 Torina 5 2 3 0 8:2 9
7 UD Samano 5 2 2 1 12:6 8
8 CD Revilla 5 2 2 1 10:6 8
9 Selaya 5 2 1 2 5:7 7
10 Atletico Mineros 5 2 0 3 4:11 6
11 Castro 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
12 UM Escobedo 5 1 2 2 3:7 5
13 Guarnizo 5 1 1 3 6:9 4
14 Solares 5 1 1 3 3:6 4
15 Velarde 5 1 1 3 3:8 4
16 Atletico Albericia 5 0 1 4 3:9 1
17 Naval Reinosa 5 0 1 4 4:13 1
18 CD Barquereno 5 0 1 4 2:11 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 (Play Offs)