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UM Escobedo vs Buelna

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Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 game between UM Escobedo and Buelna finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
UM Escobedo
20%
Draws
60%
Buelna
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Buelna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • UM Escobedo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on UM Escobedo taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 3 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UM Escobedo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 20%
Buelna Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo Buelna
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 3 6
Losses 12 19
Goals Scored 1.65 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.35 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Buelna
2:1
Nov 22, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs UM Escobedo
0:2
May 10, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Buelna
3:1
Jan 8, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Buelna vs UM Escobedo
1:1
Apr 5, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Buelna
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 42 / 100
Buelna 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo Buelna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Buelna's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

UM Escobedo found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Buelna's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
20 Sept
CD Laredo
2 : 0
UM Escobedo
12 Sept
UM Escobedo
0 : 3
Bezana
05 Sept
Torina
1 : 1
UM Escobedo
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
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Buelna

(Away)
17 May
Buelna
2 : 1
CD Colindres
10 May
Cayon CD
6 : 1
Buelna
03 May
Buelna
0 : 2
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
29 Apr
Castro
1 : 3
Buelna
26 Apr
Buelna
0 : 2
Bezana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 38 27 8 3 82:18 89
2 CD Laredo 38 23 8 7 71:31 77
3 Dep. Rayo Cantabria (Inactive) 38 21 9 8 60:37 72
4 UM Escobedo 38 19 14 5 50:30 71
5 CD Siete Villas 38 16 13 9 60:44 61
6 Cayon CD 38 18 7 13 46:36 61
7 Gama 38 16 10 12 44:34 58
8 Rayo Cantabria 38 14 12 12 52:39 54
9 Atletico Albericia 38 15 9 14 38:44 54
10 Buelna 38 14 11 13 46:46 53
11 Vimenor 38 11 18 9 49:48 51
12 Bezana 38 13 11 14 49:54 50
13 CD Colindres 38 12 10 16 43:59 46
14 Castro 38 12 6 20 47:63 42
15 Selaya 38 10 11 17 39:57 41
16 Barreda Balompie 38 11 8 19 48:67 41
17 Santona 38 11 8 19 42:59 41
18 Pontejos 38 10 7 21 47:78 37
19 Guarnizo 38 6 5 27 42:78 23
20 Ribamontan al Mar 38 3 11 24 31:64 20
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2013/2014 (Main)