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UM Escobedo vs Vimenor

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Garcia Saiz M.
36' Event
Pena G. B.

AI Match Summary

UM Escobedo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UM Escobedo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
UM Escobedo
20%
Draws
23%
Vimenor
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UM Escobedo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UM Escobedo lately — more wins on the board than Vimenor.
  • Model gives UM Escobedo a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Vimenor have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
UM Escobedo Clean Sheet 18%
Vimenor Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UM Escobedo Vimenor
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 17 16
Draws 2 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.7 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Vimenor
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs UM Escobedo
1:0
Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UM Escobedo vs Vimenor
0:1
Nov 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs UM Escobedo
2:1
Apr 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Vimenor vs UM Escobedo
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UM Escobedo Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Saiz M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pena G. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Vimenor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UM Escobedo 85 / 100
Vimenor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UM Escobedo Vimenor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UM Escobedo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UM Escobedo scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Vimenor has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: UM Escobedo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UM Escobedo VS Vimenor
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UM Escobedo

(Home)
23 May
CD Laredo
3 : 1
UM Escobedo
17 May
UM Escobedo
0 : 0
CD Laredo
09 May
CD Montanas del Pas
3 : 7
UM Escobedo
03 May
UM Escobedo
3 : 2
Atletico Albericia
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0
Vimenor
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Vimenor

(Away)
09 May
Cayon CD
3 : 1
Vimenor
03 May
Vimenor
2 : 0
CD Montanas del Pas
26 Apr
UM Escobedo
2 : 0
Vimenor
18 Apr
Atletico Albericia
2 : 2
Vimenor
11 Apr
Vimenor
1 : 3
CD Tropezon
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)