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Umea FC Akademi vs Gottne IF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Cederblad E.
31' Event
Nuredin A.
38' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2025 game between Umea FC Akademi and Gottne IF finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gottne IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umea FC Akademi
6%
Draws
90%
Gottne IF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Gottne IF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gottne IF come out ahead of Umea FC Akademi on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gottne IF a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
Gottne IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi Gottne IF
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 7 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 1.38 2.5
Goals Conceded 2.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs Umea FC Akademi
2:1
Aug 24, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Gottne IF
1:2
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs Umea FC Akademi
0:2
Apr 27, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Gottne IF
4:1
Jun 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs Gottne IF
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Cederblad E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Gottne IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Nuredin A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100
Gottne IF 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi Gottne IF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gottne IF has conceded goals in 94% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Umea FC Akademi scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Umea FC Akademi went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS Gottne IF
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pitea1292129:935
2IFK Ostersund1272325:1929
3Skelleftea1246228:1722
4IFK Lulea1252522:2119
5Kubikenborgs1242615:2016
6Gottne IF1241713:2313
7Umea FC Akademi12111013:368