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Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Forsman S.
43' Event
Bergman H.
62' Event
Brannstrom J.

AI Match Summary

IFK Lulea in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Umea FC Akademi
6%
Draws
90%
IFK Lulea
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IFK Lulea lately — more wins on the board than Umea FC Akademi.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IFK Lulea here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi IFK Lulea
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 1.5 3
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 3, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
1:3
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
3:0
Sep 14, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Lulea
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
4:0
Oct 6, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Umea FC Akademi
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Forsman S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Bergman H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Brannstrom J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 10 / 100
IFK Lulea 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi IFK Lulea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: IFK Lulea conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Umea FC Akademi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Umea FC Akademi stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS IFK Lulea
1.5 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Skelleftea1283126:827
2Taftea IK1281334:1325
3IFK Lulea1281332:1425
4Boden1245315:1417
5Umea FC Akademi1225517:2911
6Storfors AIK1222814:328
7IFK Umea12111010:384
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Kubikenborgs1272325:1623
2Gottne IF1272329:2423
3Lucksta IF1253426:2618
4IFK Ostersund1245323:2017
5Friska Viljor1226423:2112
6Umea FF1225522:2611
7Fransta IK1223717:329