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Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Umea - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Runberg O.
37' Event
Rhodin F.
39' Event
Rhodin F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Umea FC Akademi and IFK Umea finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FC Akademi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
Umea FC Akademi
15%
Draws
8%
IFK Umea
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC Akademi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Umea FC Akademi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Umea FC Akademi a 77% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).
  • Umea FC Akademi have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Umea FC Akademi Clean Sheet 15%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Akademi IFK Umea
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 2
Draws 7 4
Losses 15 23
Goals Scored 1.9 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.27 2.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Umea
6:0
Aug 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Umea FC Akademi
1:5
Jun 15, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FC Akademi vs IFK Umea
3:3
May 6, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Umea FC Akademi
1:4
Sep 25, 2020 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Umea FC Akademi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Umea FC Akademi Compare

Top Goalscorer Runberg O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rhodin F.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

IFK Umea Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC Akademi 84 / 100
IFK Umea 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Akademi IFK Umea

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Akademi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Umea FC Akademi scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

IFK Umea has conceded goals in 100% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Umea FC Akademi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC Akademi VS IFK Umea
2.5 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC Akademi

(Home)
10 Oct
Storfors AIK
3 : 2
Umea FC Akademi
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
4 : 2
Umea FF
12 Sept
Friska Viljor
1 : 5
Umea FC Akademi
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IFK Umea

(Away)
10 Oct
Friska Viljor
5 : 1
IFK Umea
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 10 7 1 2 27:15 34
2 Umea FC Akademi 10 5 1 4 29:18 27
3 Storfors AIK 10 6 1 3 18:13 27
4 Fransta IK 10 5 1 4 22:21 25
5 Umea FF 10 4 1 5 21:23 24
6 IFK Umea 10 0 1 9 9:36 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)