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Umea FC vs Assyriska FF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Umea Energi Arena, Umea
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Umea FC host Assyriska FF in the Division 1 - Norra. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Assyriska FF have shipped 1.73 goals a game lately, while Umea FC have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.29. Head-to-head, Umea FC have won 4 to Assyriska FF's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 14, 2026, ending 1:5. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.69, favoring Umea FC. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Umea FC
15%
Draws
21%
Assyriska FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Assyriska FF haven't matched Umea FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Umea FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 13%
Assyriska FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Umea FC Assyriska FF
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.29 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Umea FC
1:5
Aug 4, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Assyriska FF
3:1
Jun 30, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Umea FC
1:2
Nov 14, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Assyriska FF vs Umea FC
2:1
May 23, 2021 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Assyriska FF
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Umea FC 84 / 100
Assyriska FF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Umea FC Assyriska FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Umea FC scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Assyriska FF has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Umea FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Umea FC VS Assyriska FF
1.63 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Umea FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1
Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3
FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2
Umea FC
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4
FC Stockholm Internazionale
Page 1 of 6

Assyriska FF

(Away)
03 Oct
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0
Assyriska FF
27 Sept
Assyriska FF
1 : 2
Pitea
21 Sept
Vasalund
1 : 5
Assyriska FF
17 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 5
AFC Eskilstuna
10 Sept
Enkopings SK
2 : 1
Assyriska FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 25 18 3 4 60:20 57
2 FC Arlanda 25 14 6 5 46:28 48
3 AFC Eskilstuna 25 14 5 6 47:34 47
4 Hammarby TFF 25 13 6 6 51:25 45
5 FBK Karlstad 25 12 7 6 41:35 43
6 Enkopings SK 25 13 3 9 38:40 42
7 Karlstad 25 11 8 6 37:25 41
8 Assyriska FF 25 9 5 11 43:45 32
9 Umea FC 25 9 5 11 34:41 32
10 Karlbergs 25 9 5 11 33:41 32
11 Gefle 25 9 3 13 29:43 30
12 Sollentuna 26 6 9 11 27:36 27
13 Vasalund 25 7 6 12 36:52 27
14 Pitea 25 5 7 13 30:46 22
15 FC Jarfalla 25 5 4 16 33:55 19
16 IFK Stocksund 26 3 6 17 45:64 15
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)