Sport Picks
Umea FC vs Hammarby TFF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Sweden
Division 1 - Norra Umea Energi Arena, Umea 
Match Events
35'
35'
Forsman S.
Assist: Njie M.
45'
45'
Ek N.
59'
59'
Ekman D.
AI Match Summary
Umea FC in this Division 1 - Norra matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Umea FC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hammarby TFF lately — more wins on the board than Umea FC.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Umea FC Clean Sheet 20%
Hammarby TFF Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Umea FC | Hammarby TFF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 4, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Hammarby TFF
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Umea FC
1:2
Sep 21, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Hammarby TFF
1:2
May 12, 2024 Division 1 - Norra
Hammarby TFF vs Umea FC
1:2
Oct 1, 2023 Division 1 - Norra
Umea FC vs Hammarby TFF
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Umea FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Forsman S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Sandstrom A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
Hammarby TFF Compare
Top Goalscorer Ek N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Umea FC 31 / 100
Hammarby TFF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Umea FC Hammarby TFF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Umea FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Umea FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Hammarby TFF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.
Games between these two average 2.60 goals.
Umea FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Umea FC VS Hammarby TFF
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Umea FC
(Home) 04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1 Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3 FBK Karlstad
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3 Umea FC
16 Sept
Pitea
0 : 2 Umea FC
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4 FC Stockholm Internazionale
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1 Hammarby TFF
27 Sept
Umea FC
1 : 3 FBK Karlstad
13 Sept
Umea FC
0 : 4 FC Stockholm Internazionale
30 Aug
Umea FC
3 : 2 Vasalund
23 Aug
Umea FC
0 : 0 Enkopings SK
Page 1 of 3
Hammarby TFF
(Away) 04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1 Hammarby TFF
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1 IFK Stocksund
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2 Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0 Hammarby TFF
12 Sept
Hammarby TFF
1 : 0 Sollentuna
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04 Oct
Umea FC
2 : 1 Hammarby TFF
21 Sept
FC Arlanda
4 : 2 Hammarby TFF
17 Sept
Vasalund
0 : 0 Hammarby TFF
05 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
3 : 0 Hammarby TFF
14 Aug
AFC Eskilstuna
1 : 0 Hammarby TFF
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Stockholm Internazionale | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 63:21 | 60 |
| 2 | FC Arlanda | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 46:31 | 48 |
| 3 | AFC Eskilstuna | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 48:37 | 47 |
| 4 | Hammarby TFF | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 51:25 | 45 |
| 5 | Karlstad | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 6 | FBK Karlstad | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 41:35 | 43 |
| 7 | Enkopings SK | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38:40 | 42 |
| 8 | Karlbergs | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 36:44 | 33 |
| 9 | Assyriska FF | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 43:45 | 32 |
| 10 | Umea FC | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 34:41 | 32 |
| 11 | Gefle | 25 | 9 | 3 | 13 | 29:43 | 30 |
| 12 | Vasalund | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 39:55 | 28 |
| 13 | Sollentuna | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 27:36 | 27 |
| 14 | Pitea | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 30:46 | 22 |
| 15 | FC Jarfalla | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 33:55 | 19 |
| 16 | IFK Stocksund | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 45:64 | 15 |
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)
